303.666.4133

The Vanishing Present: 250 Things That Will Disappear from Our Lives by 2040

by | Oct 30, 2025 | Future Scenarios

Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: The Vanishing Present

We’re living amid the final generation of everyday artifacts—steering wheels, cash, and keys—soon to vanish in the age of automation and AI.

We stand at a peculiar moment in history—surrounded by objects, practices, and systems that feel permanent but are actually in their final act. The steering wheel you grip, the cash in your wallet, the keys jangling in your pocket: all artifacts of a world that’s already disappearing.

What follows isn’t science fiction. It’s a systematic catalog of the infrastructure of daily life that’s becoming obsolete, based on converging trends in automation, artificial intelligence, and digital transformation that are already well underway.

Transportation and Mobility: 10 Casualties of the Autonomous Revolution

The shift to autonomous vehicles will trigger cascading changes far beyond transportation itself. Cities will reclaim thousands of acres from parking infrastructure, converting them to housing and parks. An entire generation born after 2025 will grow up viewing manual driving the way we view horseback riding—a recreational activity, not transportation.

  1. Steering wheels in new vehicles – Banned in most urban areas, optional luxury in rural zones
  2. Driver’s licenses for people born after 2025 – No longer required or issued in many jurisdictions
  3. Gas stations in urban centers – Converted to EV charging hubs or demolished for housing
  4. Traffic lights at most intersections – Replaced by vehicle-to-infrastructure communication
  5. Parking lots in downtowns – Repurposed into housing, parks, urban farms
  6. Car ownership among urban millennials/Gen Z – Robotaxi subscriptions dominate instead
  7. Traffic cops for moving violations – Automated systems handle all enforcement
  8. Auto insurance as we know it – Shifted entirely to vehicle manufacturers/fleet operators
  9. The daily commute as distinct from “being at work” – Work happens during autonomous travel
  10. Parking meters and parking tickets – No longer needed with autonomous dropoff/pickup
Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Financial Artifacts Going Extinct

By 2040, cash will be a relic—ATMs gone, bank branches shuttered, and everyday transactions fully digital.

Money and Transactions: 10 Financial Artifacts Going Extinct

Physical currency will become illegal or so rare that it’s collectible in developed nations—Sweden and other countries are already functionally cashless. By 2040, the transition will be complete across the developed world. The ripple effects are enormous: ATMs will disappear, bank branches will close by 80-90%, and even the social contract around tipping will vanish.

  1. Physical cash in developed nations – Illegal or so rare it’s collectible
  2. Credit cards with numbers on them – Entirely biometric/phone-based authentication
  3. Bank branches in most neighborhoods – Reduced by 80-90%, mostly for elderly services
  4. Checks (personal or business) – Completely obsolete except for some legal contexts
  5. Wire transfer fees and delays – Real-time settlement is free/near-free standard
  6. ATMs – Unnecessary when cash doesn’t exist
  7. Tipping service workers – Automated/included in pricing or entirely replaced by service bots
  8. Tax preparation services for most people – AI handles automatically with near-zero error
  9. Waiting for payment processing – Everything settles instantly
  10. Foreign currency exchange for travelers – Digital currencies auto-convert transparently

Work and Office Life: 12 Professional Norms Disappearing

The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated trends that were already inevitable, and by 2040, those trends reach their logical conclusion. The “9-to-5” workday will be extinct, replaced by asynchronous work norms that make the concept of “business hours” meaningless in a globally connected workplace. Email as primary work communication will be replaced by AI-mediated asynchronous tools, while most middle management positions disappear as AI coordinates teams and humans focus on vision and culture.

  1. The “9-to-5” workday – Asynchronous work norms dominate most industries
  2. Commuting to an office daily – 2-3 days monthly for social connection only
  3. Desktop computers for most workers – Everything mobile/wearable/ambient
  4. Email as primary work communication – Replaced by AI-mediated async tools
  5. Performance reviews conducted by humans – AI provides continuous feedback/evaluation
  6. Administrative assistants – AI handles scheduling, travel, correspondence
  7. Expense reports – Automated capture and approval
  8. Most middle management positions – AI coordinates teams, humans provide vision/culture
  9. Résumés and cover letters – Skill verification and AI-matched hiring instead
  10. The concept of “business hours” – Global async work makes this meaningless
  11. Printed business cards – Digital identity sharing via proximity tech
  12. Cubicles and assigned desks – Hot-desking with AI-optimized space allocation

Shopping and Retail: 11 Commerce Practices Becoming Obsolete

The weekly shopping trip will become invisible, handled by autonomous delivery systems that monitor consumption and restock automatically. Shopping malls—the few that remain—will be converted to mixed-use housing and experience centers. Even the physical experience of shopping will transform completely: size tags will disappear as body-scanned, custom-fitting becomes standard, and shopping without augmented reality overlays will be as unusual as shopping without the internet is today.

  1. Cashiers and checkout lines – Fully automated scan-and-go everywhere
  2. Shopping malls (most remaining ones) – Converted to mixed-use housing/experiences
  3. Clothing stores with inventory in-store – Showrooms only, delivery next-day
  4. Grocery shopping as a weekly chore – Autonomous delivery makes it continuous/invisible
  5. Impulse buying at checkout aisles – Disappeared with cashiers
  6. Returns requiring you to ship things back – Drones pick up, instant refund
  7. Size tags on clothes – Body-scanned custom fitting is standard
  8. Black Friday shopping in person – Entirely online, algorithmic deal-finding
  9. Loyalty card keychains – Biometric ID handles automatically
  10. Shopping without augmented reality – AR overlays are the default shopping interface
  11. Wondering if store has item in stock – Real-time inventory visible always
Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Cultural Institutions Fading Away<br />

The era of shared media fades as AI-curated, on-demand entertainment replaces cable, theaters, radio, and traditional album releases.

Media and Entertainment: 12 Cultural Institutions Fading Away

The scheduled, centralized media experience gives way to personalized, on-demand everything. Cable and satellite TV will be fully replaced by streaming, while 80% of movie theaters close—only premium experience venues survive. Album releases as major cultural events will disappear in favor of continuous singles and content flow, while AI analyzes your taste and recommends content more effectively than any human critic.
Cable/satellite TV subscriptions – Fully replaced by streaming

  1. Cable/satellite TV subscriptions – Fully replaced by streaming
  2. Movie theaters (80% of them) – Only premium experience venues survive
  3. DVDs, Blu-rays, physical media – Completely obsolete
  4. TV programming schedules – Everything on-demand always
  5. Waiting for a show’s next season – AI generates continuation episodes between seasons
  6. Album releases as major events – Continuous singles/content flow instead
  7. Paparazzi photography – Deepfakes make candid photos unverifiable/worthless
  8. Movie critics as gatekeepers – AI analyzes your taste, recommends perfectly
  9. Video game consoles – Cloud gaming dominates
  10. Printed magazines – Even holdouts finally surrender
  11. Radio stations with human DJs – AI curation with synthetic personalities
  12. Autographs from celebrities – Unverifiable due to deepfakes, lose value

Communication and Social: 10 Interaction Patterns Transforming

The friction in human communication—miscommunication, barriers, lost connections—gets systematically engineered away through AI mediation. Phone numbers will be replaced by identity-based calling, while voicemail becomes automatically transcribed and responded to by AI. Language barriers in communication will dissolve through seamless real-time translation, and AI will maintain weak social ties automatically, preventing the unintentional loss of relationships.

  1. Phone numbers – Replaced by identity-based calling
  2. Voicemail – AI transcribes/summarizes/responds automatically
  3. Spam calls – AI screening makes them impossible
  4. Group text message chaos – Better collaboration tools replace
  5. Email spam filters you manage – AI handles perfectly without user input
  6. Having to remember anyone’s contact info – AI maintains relationships automatically
  7. Miscommunication due to tone in text – AI detects/clarifies emotional intent
  8. Language barriers in communication – Real-time translation is seamless
  9. The question “can you hear me now?” – Network quality issues solved
  10. Losing touch with people unintentionally – AI maintains weak ties automatically

Healthcare and Medicine: 11 Medical Practices Being Revolutionized

The waiting room full of sick people becomes a relic as healthcare becomes continuous, predictive, and primarily home-based. Annual checkups as primary health monitoring will be replaced by continuous wearable surveillance that catches problems before they become serious. Many currently terminal cancers will become survivable through early detection and treatment, while routine surgeries requiring hospital stays become same-day robotic procedures.

  1. Waiting rooms full of sick people – Telemedicine and home monitoring eliminate
  2. Annual checkups as your main health monitoring – Continuous wearable monitoring instead
  3. Filling out medical history forms repeatedly – Universal health records
  4. Waiting weeks for test results – Most available within hours
  5. Medical records on paper or fax – Finally extinct everywhere
  6. Surprise medical bills – Price transparency and AI negotiation prevent
  7. Dying from many currently terminal cancers – Early detection/treatment makes most survivable
  8. Routine surgeries requiring hospital stays – Robotic procedures enable same-day discharge
  9. Prescription refill phone calls – Automated monitoring and delivery
  10. Dental cavities (mostly) – Prevention technology improves dramatically
  11. Reading glasses for most people – Corrective procedures so cheap/safe they’re routine
Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Learning Traditions Becoming History

I will replace memorization and standardized testing with personalized, experiential learning and continuous skill verification.

Education: 11 Learning Traditions Becoming History

Standardized tests, physical textbooks, and traditional homework transform beyond recognition as AI enables truly personalized learning. The entire concept of memorizing facts for exams becomes pointless when AI knows everything and instant access is universal. University as the only path to credentials will be challenged by micro-credentials and continuous skill verification, while lectures as the primary teaching method flip to interactive and experiential learning.

  1. Standardized tests (SAT, ACT, etc.) – AI-based continuous assessment instead
  2. Textbooks (physical) – Fully replaced by adaptive digital content
  3. Homework as we know it – AI tutoring makes it personalized and unnecessary in traditional form
  4. Memorizing facts for exams – Completely pointless when AI knows everything
  5. Lectures as primary teaching method – Flipped to interactive/experiential
  6. University as only path to credentials – Micro-credentials and skill verification dominate
  7. School libraries as book repositories – Transformed into maker spaces
  8. Classroom seating in rows – Collaborative spaces are universal
  9. Summer break (in many districts) – Year-round flexible scheduling
  10. Tenure battles – Education system restructured entirely
  11. Handwriting as critical skill – Still taught but not emphasized

Home and Daily Life: 19 Domestic Routines Disappearing

The smart home becomes invisible, anticipating needs and eliminating manual tasks without requiring conscious interaction. Physical keys vanish completely, replaced by biometric and phone-based access, while manual thermostat adjustment seems comically primitive as AI optimization becomes universal. Even domestic arguments change: thermostat disputes end as AI satisfies everyone’s preferences through zoning, and running out of household essentials becomes impossible with auto-ordering systems.

  1. Keys (physical) – Biometric/phone access everywhere
  2. Light switches – Voice/presence-sensing replaces
  3. Thermostats you adjust manually – AI optimizes automatically
  4. Doing laundry and dishes yourself – Automated appliances handle completely
  5. Grocery lists – AI tracks consumption, orders automatically
  6. Wondering what’s for dinner – AI suggests based on inventory/preferences/nutrition
  7. Lawn mowing – Robotic or replaced with native landscaping
  8. House keys under the doormat – Hilariously obsolete security concept
  9. Smoke detectors that beep annoyingly – Smart sensors prevent issues before alarms needed
  10. Paying utility bills manually – Automated optimization and payment
  11. Arguing about the thermostat – AI satisfies everyone’s preferences via zoning
  12. Running out of toilet paper – Auto-ordering prevents ever
  13. Vacuuming – Robotic systems clean continuously
  14. Passwords for home systems – Biometric everything
  15. TV remote controls with 47 buttons – Voice/gesture interface
  16. Losing things in your house – Item tracking makes it impossible
  17. Alarm clocks as separate devices – Phone handles everything
  18. Holding doors open for people – Automatic doors sense approaching people
  19. The question “got a light?” – Smoking rates so low, lighters are rare

Government and Bureaucracy: 10 Administrative Burdens Eliminated

Government finally joins the digital age, automating most citizen interactions and eliminating the painful friction points of bureaucracy. Waiting at the DMV becomes a memory as most services automate, while filing taxes manually ends as governments simply use the data they already have to file for citizens. Physical driver’s licenses and paper birth certificates give way to digital identity standards and blockchain identity from birth.

  1. Waiting at the DMV – Most services automated/remote
  2. Physical driver’s licenses – Digital identity standard
  3. Passport photos – Biometric data replaces photos
  4. Filing taxes manually – Government has all data, files for you
  5. Jury duty as random selection – AI-optimized jury selection
  6. Voting on a single Tuesday – Secure digital voting over weeks
  7. Paper ballots in most jurisdictions – Digital with blockchain verification
  8. Immigration stamps in passports – Digital travel records
  9. Birth certificates on paper – Blockchain identity from birth
  10. Most in-person government offices – 90% of services fully digital
Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Gadgets and Interfaces Vanishing

By 2040, cables, mice, and keyboards will fade away as seamless voice, gestures, and wireless interfaces connect humans and technology.

Technology and Devices: 15 Gadgets and Interfaces Vanishing

The physical connection points between humans and technology dissolve into wireless, voice, and gesture interfaces. USB cables mostly disappear as wireless charging and data transfer become standard, while computer mice give way to gesture and voice controls. Keyboards diminish on most devices as voice dictation and AI composition improve to the point where typing becomes the slower, more cumbersome option.

  1. USB cables (most types) – Wireless charging/data transfer standard
  2. Computer mice – Gesture/voice controls dominate
  3. Keyboards on most devices – Voice dictation and AI composition
  4. Printer/scanner ownership – When would you ever need?
  5. Desktop towers – Everything mobile or cloud-based
  6. DVD/CD drives – Haven’t seen one in years
  7. Headphone jacks – Fully wireless audio is universal
  8. HDMI cables – Wireless display standard
  9. Phone charging cables (mostly) – Wireless/long-range charging
  10. Laptop bags – Devices so thin/light they’re pocket-sized
  11. Computer passwords – Biometric authentication everywhere
  12. Two-factor authentication texts – More secure methods replace
  13. Plugging things in to sync – Everything cloud-synced automatically
  14. Tech support phone calls – AI troubleshooting solves 99%
  15. Wristwatches that only tell time – Smartwatches dominate or watches are jewelry only

Food and Dining: 10 Culinary Experiences Transforming

The restaurant experience and home cooking both undergo radical transformation as AI and automation reshape every aspect of food. Waiters taking orders with pens give way to tablet and voice ordering everywhere, while meal planning as a chore disappears as AI handles it based on nutrition, preferences, and inventory. Food poisoning becomes mostly preventable through comprehensive supply chain monitoring, and the price gap between fast food and healthy food narrows dramatically as automated farming and preparation equalize costs.

  1. Waiters taking orders with pens – Tablet/voice ordering everywhere
  2. Wondering about ingredients/allergens – AR displays full information
  3. Food poisoning (mostly) – Supply chain monitoring prevents
  4. Grocery store checkout lanes – Scan-and-go everywhere
  5. Wondering if food in fridge is still good – Smart packaging/sensors tell you
  6. Meal planning as a chore – AI handles based on nutrition/preferences/inventory
  7. Restaurant reservations that get lost – Digital booking is perfect
  8. Tipping anxiety – Service charge included or no human servers
  9. Drive-through ordering speaker systems – AI takes orders perfectly, no miscommunication
  10. Fast food as significantly cheaper than healthy food – Automated farming/prep equalizes prices

Travel and Hospitality: 10 Journey Hassles Eliminated

Travel becomes frictionless as biometrics and AI remove most pain points from the journey. Hotel check-in desks disappear in favor of automated room access via phone, while paper and digital boarding passes give way to biometric boarding. Lost luggage becomes impossible through RFID tracking, and language barriers while traveling dissolve with real-time translation earbuds that make every conversation seamless.

  1. Hotel check-in desks – Automated room access via phone
  2. Boarding passes (paper or even digital) – Biometric boarding
  3. Lost luggage – RFID tracking makes it impossible
  4. Language barriers while traveling – Real-time translation earbuds
  5. Getting lost in a new city – AR navigation is perfect
  6. Traveler’s checks – Already dying, fully dead by 2040
  7. Hotel room keys (cards) – Phone/biometric access
  8. Asking for directions from strangers – AR guidance means you never need to
  9. Currency exchange fees gouging travelers – Digital currency transparency
  10. Long TSA security lines – Biometric/AI screening is instant for most

Childhood and Parenting: 10 Growing-Up Experiences Changing

Technology makes children simultaneously safer and more independent while fundamentally changing what skills matter for success. Children walking to school alone becomes safer and more common again through autonomous pods and monitoring, while getting lost in a crowd becomes preventable through tracking technology. The question “what do you want to be when you grow up?” becomes meaningless as career fluidity replaces lifelong vocations.

  1. Children walking to school alone – Autonomous pods/monitoring makes it safer, more common again
  2. Getting lost in a crowd – Tracking tech prevents
  3. Not knowing where your teenager is – Consent-based location sharing is standard
  4. Memorizing multiplication tables – AI handles math, focus shifts to concepts
  5. Saturday morning cartoons – Kids watch what they want, when they want
  6. Allowance in cash – Digital money management from age 5+
  7. The question “what do you want to be when you grow up?” – Career fluidity makes this meaningless
  8. Stranger danger as taught in the 2020s – Monitoring makes children simultaneously safer and more independent
  9. Report cards sent home – Continuous digital feedback to parents
  10. Pen and paper for most people – Typing/voice is faster for everything
Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Romance Rituals Transforming

By 2040, AI will become the unseen matchmaker and mediator of human relationships, guiding everything from first dates to breakups.

Dating and Relationships: 8 Romance Rituals Transforming

AI mediates more of our intimate lives, from meeting to breaking up, fundamentally changing how relationships form and dissolve. Meeting people “organically” without apps still happens, but becomes rare, while first date anxiety about conversation topics diminishes as AI suggests talking points in real-time. Pre-date AI compatibility scoring prevents bad first dates that waste entire evenings, and AI even mediates difficult breakup conversations.

  1. Meeting people “organically” without apps – Still happens but rare
  2. First date anxiety about conversation topics – AI suggests talking points in real-time
  3. Wondering if someone likes you – Biometric/AI analysis reads interest
  4. Bad first dates that waste entire evenings – Pre-date AI compatibility scoring prevents
  5. Anniversary cards – AI handles remembering and personalized messaging
  6. Breakups via ghosting – AI mediates difficult conversations
  7. Custody schedules requiring complicated coordination – AI optimizes based on everyone’s schedules
  8. Dating someone without knowing their health/genetic compatibility – Full disclosure is standard/expected

Privacy and Security: 8 Anonymity Assumptions Inverted

Perhaps most profound: true anonymity in public spaces disappears entirely as facial recognition becomes ubiquitous. Getting away with minor crimes becomes impossible due to surveillance density, while identity theft becomes nearly impossible with biometric identification. The entire concept of privacy inverts: rather than privacy being the default assumption with public life being opt-in, transparency becomes the default, and privacy becomes an opt-in luxury.

  1. True anonymity in public spaces – Facial recognition is ubiquitous
  2. Getting away with minor crimes – Surveillance density makes impossible
  3. Identity theft a major problem – Biometric ID makes it nearly impossible
  4. Losing your wallet and being screwed – No physical wallet to lose
  5. Forgetting passwords – No passwords to forget
  6. Privacy as default assumption – Transparency is default, privacy is opt-in luxury
  7. Unsolved crimes in areas with cameras – AI analysis solves most within hours
  8. Alibi verification being difficult – Digital footprint proves location constantly

Waste and Inefficiency: 10 Resource Drains Being Eliminated

Environmental pressures and smart systems dramatically reduce waste across all domains of life. Physical junk mail finally becomes illegal or uneconomical, while single-use plastics in most contexts give way to biodegradable alternatives. Food waste from poor planning becomes preventable through AI inventory management, and inefficient home heating and cooling are reduced by 70%+ through AI optimization.

  1. Junk mail (physical) – Finally illegal or uneconomical
  2. Plastic bags at checkout – Banned or phased out everywhere
  3. Single-use plastics in most contexts – Biodegradable alternatives dominate
  4. Food waste from poor planning – AI inventory management prevents
  5. Recyclables going to landfill – Automated sorting achieves 90%+ capture
  6. Inefficient home heating/cooling – AI optimization reduces waste 70%+
  7. Peak electricity demand problems – Smart grid/batteries smooth completely
  8. Water waste from poor timing – Smart systems optimize usage
  9. Yard waste – Composting automation makes it a resource, not waste
  10. Fast fashion’s worst excesses – Body-scanned custom clothing reduces waste
Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Daily Experiences Vanishing

From bar debates to weather surprises, AI erases uncertainty and boredom from everyday life.

Miscellaneous: 63 Additional Daily Experiences Vanishing

The remaining transformations span every corner of daily life, from the trivial to the profound. Wondering what song is playing becomes instantly answered by AI, while arguing about trivia facts gets settled immediately—ruining bar debates forever. Weather surprises become rare with hyperlocal forecasting, and boredom while waiting anywhere disappears as personalized content becomes always available.

  1. Wondering what that song is – AI identifies instantly from seconds of audio
  2. Arguing about trivia facts – AI settles instantly, ruins bar debates
  3. Weather surprises – Hyperlocal forecasting is extremely accurate
  4. Seasonal affective disorder (mostly) – Light therapy tech and treatment improve
  5. Bad sleep from poor sleep hygiene – Monitoring and automated optimization help most people
  6. Boredom while waiting anywhere – Personalized content always available
  7. Photo printing – When would you even do this?
  8. Asking “what time is it there?” – AI handles time zones transparently
  9. The phrase “let me Google that” – Replaced by “AI, answer this”
  10. Instruction manuals – AR guides you through anything
  11. Assembly required furniture struggles – AR instructions make it trivial
  12. Lost pets – Tracking implants/collars prevent
  13. Printed receipts – Digital by default everywhere
  14. Wondering if you locked the door – Smart locks confirm status remotely
  15. Car keys – Phone/biometric vehicle access
  16. Garage door openers as separate devices – Integrated into phone/car
  17. Paper maps – Completely obsolete
  18. Phone books – Already gone, fully extinct
  19. Fax machines – Finally dead in last holdout industries
  20. Pagers/beepers – Extinct even in hospitals
  21. Answering machines – Replaced by visual voicemail/AI
  22. Dial-up internet nostalgia – Too old to remember
  23. Ethernet cables for most users – WiFi makes wired unnecessary
  24. Replacing batteries in most devices – Wireless charging/long-life batteries
  25. User manuals for software – AI assistance makes them unnecessary
  26. “Press 1 for English” – AI detects language automatically
  27. Hold music – Callback systems eliminate waiting
  28. Busy signals – Network capacity makes impossible
  29. Area codes meaning location – VoIP makes geography irrelevant
  30. Collect calls – Obsolete concept
  31. Phone cords – Haven’t seen one in ages
  32. Rotary phones even as nostalgia – Too old to be retro
  33. Pay phones – Already nearly extinct, fully gone
  34. Phone booths – Kept only as historical artifacts
  35. Operator assistance for calls – AI handles everything
  36. Time/temperature phone numbers – Why would you call?
  37. Wake-up calls at hotels – Phone alarm makes unnecessary
  38. Hotel mini-bars – Drone delivery replaces
  39. Room service menus – Digital ordering with AR food display
  40. “Do not disturb” signs – Digital status via app
  41. Hotel concierges (mostly) – AI provides better recommendations
  42. Tour groups with flags – AR guidance eliminates need
  43. Foreign language phrasebooks – Real-time translation makes obsolete
  44. International calling cards – VoIP makes concept meaningless
  45. Duty-free shopping as special – Price transparency eliminates advantage
  46. Travel agencies (most) – AI planning is superior
  47. Printed airline tickets – Long extinct
  48. Luggage tags you write on – RFID/digital tags standard
  49. Travel insurance companies (many) – Automated risk assessment changes industry
  50. Car rental counters – Autonomous vehicles eliminate rental concept
  51. Gas station attendants – Already rare, fully extinct
  52. Full-service gas stations – Unnecessary with EVs
  53. Oil change services – EVs don’t need them
  54. Transmission repair shops – EVs have no transmissions
  55. Muffler shops – EVs are nearly silent
  56. Parking attendants – Automated systems handle
  57. Valet parking (mostly) – Autonomous dropoff replaces
  58. Parking validation stamps – Digital integration eliminates
  59. Parking enforcement officers – Automated detection handles
  60. Boot removal services – Digital enforcement eliminates boots
  61. Traffic school in person – Online/AI-adaptive courses only
  62. Smog check stations – EVs don’t produce emissions
  63. The phrase “I need to find a parking spot” – Autonomous vehicles eliminate the concept entirely
Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Each Innovation Triggers The Next

Each innovation triggers the next—cashless economies, autonomous vehicles, and shifting work patterns cascade into a chain of disruptions redefining daily life.

Final Thoughts

These aren’t isolated predictions—they’re interconnected transformations that reinforce each other in ways that amplify disruption. Consider how one change triggers dozens of others: The death of cash enables the transformation of retail. Autonomous vehicles reshape cities. City restructuring changes real estate values and usage. Real estate changes fundamentally alter work patterns and commuting. Work pattern shifts transform hiring practices and career expectations. New hiring approaches restructure entire career trajectories. Career changes modify financial planning and life stages. Each domino triggers the next, creating a cascade that moves faster than our ability to adapt.

For Business Leaders: The Strategic Imperative

The critical question isn’t whether these changes will happen—it’s how quickly you position your organization for their arrival. Winners will recognize shifts early, restructure before transitions become crises, and build for the 2040 reality rather than optimizing for today’s comfort zone. They’ll view this list not as threats but as a map of opportunities—every disappearing practice creates space for new business models, new value propositions, new ways to serve customers.

Losers will wait for “proof” that never comes in time, optimize for a world that’s already disappearing, and confuse resistance with strategy. They’ll defend steering wheels while others build autonomous fleets, protect bank branches while others create digital banking ecosystems, invest in parking infrastructure while cities convert it to housing.

For Society: The Human Challenge

Managing these transitions humanely represents perhaps our greatest challenge. Each disappearing practice represents jobs lost, skills rendered obsolete, communities disrupted, and identities challenged. The question isn’t whether to resist—these changes are driven by fundamental efficiency gains that make resistance futile. The question is how to help people navigate the transition.

We need retraining programs at scale, social safety nets designed for disruption rather than stability, new definitions of meaningful work that go beyond traditional employment, and support systems for communities experiencing economic flux. The technology will arrive regardless; whether we thrive or fracture depends on our social and political responses.

The Uncomfortable Truth

The world of 2040 will be as foreign to us as our world would be to someone from 1985. The difference: our transformation will happen faster, with more disruption, across more domains simultaneously. Most of what we consider permanent is temporary. Most of what we think we understand about “how things work” is already wrong—we just haven’t noticed yet because the old systems still function. But functioning and thriving are different things. The VHS player worked fine in 2005; it was simply obsolete.

Key Themes Across All 250

Six powerful currents run through these predictions: Automation everywhere—tasks we assume require humans increasingly don’t. Invisibility of technology—the best tech disappears into the background until we can’t remember how we lived without it. AI mediation—an intelligence layer inserting itself between us and everything we do. Death of friction—every inconvenience, delay, and inefficiency getting systematically engineered away. Privacy inversion—the default flipping from private-unless-shared to transparent-unless-hidden. Physical becoming digital—atoms turning into bits whenever physics allows it.

Questions Worth Asking

Which of these 250 items is your business or career built on? What happens when it vanishes—not if, but when? Are you preparing for its replacement or defending its permanence? Is your strategy optimized for 2025 or 2040? What opportunities emerge as these things disappear? Who benefits from the transition and who gets hurt? What skills become worthless and which become priceless? How does your industry transform when five of these items vanish simultaneously?

The Final Question

Not: Will these things vanish? Not: Can we stop this? But: Are we ready for what replaces them?

The answer, for most people and organizations, is no. Most are operating as if 2040 will be 2025 with slightly better smartphones. It won’t be. It will be as different from today as today is from 1985—but compressed into half the time, affecting twice as many aspects of life.

The future isn’t something that happens to us. It’s something we’re building right now, one disappeared practice at a time. The opportunity isn’t in preventing these changes—that’s impossible. The opportunity is in being among the first to recognize what’s vanishing, understanding what replaces it, and positioning yourself on the right side of the transition.

The companies, communities, and individuals who thrive will be those who recognize that the future has already arrived—it’s just not evenly distributed yet. Your move is to find where it’s already happening, learn from it, and bring those lessons to where you are before disruption forces the change upon you.
These 250 items will vanish by 2040. Most will disappear sooner. The question is whether you’ll be ready.

Translate This Page

Futurist Speaker
Privacy Overview

This website uses cookies so that we can provide you with the best user experience possible. Cookie information is stored in your browser and performs functions such as recognising you when you return to our website and helping our team to understand which sections of the website you find most interesting and useful.