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		<title>With the Coming AI-Robot Jobs Armageddon, Why is this Time Different?</title>
		<link>https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-work/with-the-coming-ai-robot-jobs-armageddon-why-is-this-time-different/</link>
					<comments>https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-work/with-the-coming-ai-robot-jobs-armageddon-why-is-this-time-different/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Thomas Frey]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Jun 2021 06:05:41 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Future of Work]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[automation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[robot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[robotics]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://futuristspeaker.flywheelsites.com/?p=35713</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-work/with-the-coming-ai-robot-jobs-armageddon-why-is-this-time-different/">With the Coming AI-Robot Jobs Armageddon, Why is this Time Different?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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					<h1 class="entry-title">With the Coming AI-Robot Jobs Armageddon, Why is this Time Different?</h1>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" width="1200" height="800" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/futurist-thomas-frey-the-coming-ai-robot-jobs-armageddon.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: The Coming Ai Robot Jobs Armageddon - Why is this time different?" title="The Coming Ai Robot Jobs Armageddon - Why is this time different?" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/futurist-thomas-frey-the-coming-ai-robot-jobs-armageddon.jpg 1200w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/futurist-thomas-frey-the-coming-ai-robot-jobs-armageddon-980x653.jpg 980w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/futurist-thomas-frey-the-coming-ai-robot-jobs-armageddon-480x320.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1200px, 100vw" class="wp-image-35737" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>Are computers, robots, and machines automating too many jobs out of existence. Is it accurate to describe the short-term jobs market an “AI-robot jobs Armageddon,” as some have?</p>
<p>The future is rarely as comfortable as the status quo. For certain demographic groups, technological innovation and the evolution of ideas can be disruptive, messy, and worse. This is reflected to some extent in the labor market, where currently the average 50-year-old person has held 12 different jobs.</p>
<p>The only thing certain is change, and to a large extent, change is driven by technology advances.</p>
<h2>A Historical Perspective on the Future</h2>
<p>In 1964, an open letter was drafted and sent to President Johnson, warning him of the coming Triple Revolution. The letter was composed and signed by 35 members of the “Ad Hoc Committee on the Triple Revolution,” which included luminaries like Nobel Chemist, Linus Pauling; civil rights activist, Tom Hayden; and Swedish Nobel Economist, Gunnar Myrdal.</p>
<p>The letter focused on three revolutions that seemingly were taking place at the time:</p>
<ol>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Cybernation Revolution – increasing automation</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Weaponry Revolution – mutually assured destruction</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Human Rights Revolution – growing civil unrest</li>
</ol>
<p>While the letter addressed all three issues, it focused primarily on the Cybernation Revolution. The authors predicted that machines and automation would cause massive new unemployment as jobs shifted significantly. They stated:</p>
<p>“A new era of production has begun. Its principles of organization are as different from those of the industrial era as those of the industrial era were different from the agricultural. The cybernation revolution has been brought about by the combination of the computer and the automated self-regulating machine. This results in a system of almost unlimited productive capacity which requires progressively less human labor. Cybernation is already reorganizing the economic and social system to meet its own needs.”</p>
<p>Of particular interest to me was the work of one of the signers, Robert Theobald, a futurist who had written extensively on the economics of abundance and his advocacy of a Basic Income Guarantee.</p>
<p>These are the same topics being discussed by those today who fear massive technological unemployment in the years ahead.</p>
<h2>Were They Right?</h2>
<p>This warning from more than 50 years ago still seems to haunt us. Computers obviously have dramatically changed the jobs landscape, as well as the skills required to perform those jobs. And the degree to which this is happening is speeding up, along with the concern about technology-driven unemployment.</p>
<p>Additional factors are at play as well. The pandemic accelerated change trends in many areas of our lives – from healthcare to work environments to shopping … to the jobs market.</p>
<p>Post-COVID hiring has been slower than many expected. There are many possible reasons for this, but I would suggest that during the past 12 months, our economy has undergone decades-worth of automation innovation.</p>
<p>During that same time, we’ve also experienced a decade’s worth of people reconsidering their job futures – for example, getting serious about long-term careers and, in many cases, shifting away from retail and other front-line jobs. Those are the jobs most amenable to automation, according to economists.</p>
<p>And even manufacturing, the epitome of automation, seems to have taken another major leap recently in that direction. The sector has recovered strongly from the pandemic while only bringing back 60% of the workers that were lost.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="700" height="320" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/futurist-thomas-frey-numbers-show-deployment-of-robots-cause-job-displacement.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Numbers Show Relationship between Deployment of Robots and Jobs that they displaced" title="Numbers Show Relationship between Deployment of Robots and Jobs that they displaced" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/futurist-thomas-frey-numbers-show-deployment-of-robots-cause-job-displacement.jpg 700w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/futurist-thomas-frey-numbers-show-deployment-of-robots-cause-job-displacement-480x219.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw" class="wp-image-35734" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>What the Numbers Show</h2>
<p>In the past, researchers typically suggested that major steps in automation within an industry rarely led to mass lay-offs. Instead, they would suggest automation was spurring job retraining, retirements, and shifts to service-related industries.</p>
<p>And when you get past the anecdotal information and dig into the numbers, a similar situation is evident today. A recent MIT study found a fairly significant <a href="https://news.mit.edu/2020/how-many-jobs-robots-replace-0504" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title="How many jobs do robots really replace?">relationship between the deployment of robots and the jobs that they displaced</a>.</p>
<p>According to their analysis, in any given metropolitan location, each robot that was added to the workplace replaced 6.6 jobs within that region. The impact is ameliorated a bit in that the resulting efficiencies and reduced cost of goods benefitted employment in other industries and locations. Thus, the net national effect of the deployment of one robot was the loss of 3.3 jobs.</p>
<p>It’s not surprising that the researchers found that this impact was borne disproportionately by blue collar workers – low-skilled and especially middle-skill workers, suggesting that technology breakthroughs were contributing to income inequality.</p>
<h2>It all adds up to a lot of jobs</h2>
<p>On a global level, the jobs impact of technology automation is pretty staggering.</p>
<p>Oxford Economics predicts that, thanks to improved robotic technology, better AI, and lower costs for both, robotic automation will cause the loss of 20 million jobs globally by 2030 – including 12.5 million in China, two million in the EU, and 1.5 million in the U.S. In contrast to the MIT study, though, they’re basing this on an estimate that the displacement effect to date has only been around 1.6 workers per robot.</p>
<p>They point out that at this macro level, the impact will be disproportionately more severe not just on blue collar workers but less advanced countries overall.</p>
<h2>But here’s where they were wrong</h2>
<p>If you paid close attention to the doom and gloom of the economist’s predictions above, the thing most noticeably absent was predictions about new job creation.</p>
<p>The same technologies that are used to automate jobs out of existence are the same technologies that will be creating the jobs and industries of the future.</p>
<p>Let me say that again. The same technologies that are used to automate jobs out of existence are the same technologies that will be creating the jobs and industries of the future.</p>
<p>The job market is constantly changing. In fact many of the jobs people perform today did not even exist 10 years ago, and most of the jobs that did exist, require a new vocabulary, additional skills, and new forms of understanding.</p>
<p>So if we ask the question &#8211; “<a href="/business-trends/when-it-comes-to-jobs-why-is-this-time-different/" title="When it comes to jobs, why is this time different?">Is this time truly different?” &#8211; the answer is always “yes.</a>”</p>
<p>Every wave of innovation brings with it new demands, new standards, new policies, and a need for new skills.</p>
<p>But perhaps the more salient question we should be asking &#8211; “At what point do we start to exceed our human ability to adapt?”</p>
<p>Countless times in the past, people have predicted jobs disappearing, but virtually none have registered more than a ripple effect on the job creation engine, a job creation engine that is being driven by a series of complex self-organizing systems.</p>
<p>Self-organizing systems tend to develop around a series of human management processes where complex systems with many moving parts orient around human need as a core driver to both self-correct and reorganize to build a more stable, pulsing state of operation.</p>
<p>Today’s teachers, coaches and vocational guides should be steering young people towards jobs and careers both in and with these technologies, and that’s where new learning technologies come into play.</p>
<p>In 1984, educational psychologist Benjamin Bloom found that he could take an average student scoring in the 70th percentile range in school and move them into a setting with one-on-one tutoring coupled with a mastery learning process and they would suddenly score in the 98th percentile range.</p>
<p>Bloom’s process led to a huge improvement in student performance. And his results were replicated numerous times by several different researchers.</p>
<p>Going from a 70th percentile to 98th percentile student was a two sigma improvement. This meant that his students performed two standard deviations better than students who learned through conventional instructional methods.</p>
<p>In his papers, Bloom asked the very pragmatic question, “How do we achieve these results in a more practical, more scalable way than one-on-one tutoring?”</p>
<p>Until now, there has really been no practical way of offering one-on-one tutoring for the masses. However, AI and an assortment of other emerging technologies is about to change all that.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="700" height="407" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/futurist-thomas-frey-unwritten-human-mandate-for-knowledge-doubling.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Unwritten Human Mandate and Base of Human Knowledge Doubling every 12 hours" title="Unwritten Human Mandate and Base of Human Knowledge Doubling every 12 hours" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/futurist-thomas-frey-unwritten-human-mandate-for-knowledge-doubling.jpg 700w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/futurist-thomas-frey-unwritten-human-mandate-for-knowledge-doubling-480x279.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw" class="wp-image-35740" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>The unwritten human mandate</h2>
<p>The human race has an unwritten mandate to pass our rapidly growing base of knowledge and information on from one generation to the next.</p>
<p>Our base of knowledge is growing rapidly. Before 1900, it’s estimated that human knowledge doubled every century. However, the doubling of information has speeded up considerably, and the latest research now shows our base of human knowledge doubling every 12 hours.</p>
<p>Think of all the blog posts, podcasts, video recordings, papers being written, social media posts, and surveillance camera records being added to the information universe. It’s truly a staggering amount of information being added every minute of every day.</p>
<p>That said, the tools we have today for passing knowledge from one generation to the next are simply not up to the task. In their present form, libraries are not good enough, schools are not fast enough, and technology still has a poor interface for the human mind. But changes are happening very quickly!</p>
<p>With the base of human knowledge doubling every 12 hours, no it’s not possible to increase our mental sphere to a point where we’re actually absorbing all this information. But we can improve our interface with it, to the point where it is as seamless and as invisible as possible.</p>
<p>Even though it’s outside our present cognitive abilities, we’ll be able to interact with it as though it is. People will be able to ask us a question and we’ll be able to quickly think our way through to an answer.</p>
<p>Our minds will be able to surf the compendiums of the Internet to find the answers.</p>
<p>We will no longer need to have all of our most important data committed to memory. Instead, our minds will have a seamless interface with the knowledge universe, we’ll train our minds to know where to look, and the answers to all our questions will only be a few seconds away.</p>
<h2>Final Thoughts</h2>
<p>Young people today will be our future designers, craftsmen, engineers, architects, doctors, dentists, scientists, researchers, politicians, lawyers, retailers, and future business leaders. They will be inheriting a world filled with problems &#8211; aging infrastructure, crumbling systems, corrupt governments, radically disruptive technology, ethical dilemmas, and a host of seemingly impossible situations.</p>
<p>At the same time, they will be using tools, systems, and techniques that will enable them to be exponentially more capable, productive, and accomplished.</p>
<p>We are on the verge of making the transition from the here-and-now to what-comes-next, and that’s where it gets interesting.</p>
<p>Robots are coming. They’re coming with or without our blessing, and in shapes and forms we can’t even imagine.</p>
<p>But they also come with limits, limits that we will soon discover along the way.</div>
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<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-work/with-the-coming-ai-robot-jobs-armageddon-why-is-this-time-different/">With the Coming AI-Robot Jobs Armageddon, Why is this Time Different?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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		<title>Robots and automation will never fully replace humans. And that’s a good thing.</title>
		<link>https://futuristspeaker.com/artificial-intelligence/robots-and-automation-will-never-fully-replace-humans-and-thats-a-good-thing/</link>
					<comments>https://futuristspeaker.com/artificial-intelligence/robots-and-automation-will-never-fully-replace-humans-and-thats-a-good-thing/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Thomas Frey]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2020 08:00:57 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Artificial Intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ai]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[automation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[autonomous]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[robot]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://futuristspeaker.flywheelsites.com/?p=32451</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/artificial-intelligence/robots-and-automation-will-never-fully-replace-humans-and-thats-a-good-thing/">Robots and automation will never fully replace humans. And that’s a good thing.</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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					<h1 class="entry-title">Robots and automation will never fully replace humans. And that’s a good thing.</h1>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap "><img decoding="async" width="758" height="630" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-robots-and-automation-will-never-fully-replace-humans.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Robots and Automation Will Never Fully Replace Humans" title="Robots and automation will never fully replace humans, and that is a good thing." srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-robots-and-automation-will-never-fully-replace-humans.jpg 758w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-robots-and-automation-will-never-fully-replace-humans-480x399.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 758px, 100vw" class="wp-image-32493" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>Will a smile from a robot ever be as comforting as one from a mother? If a robot tells you how wonderful you are, will that ever mean as much as if your partner says it to you?</p>
<p>Westworld and H.A.L. notwithstanding, robots have a long way to go before they’ll look or act human. Creating a human-like robot seems to be the dream of many science fiction writers and Hollywood movie makers. But is that the right goal? And I’m not just talking about the unintended consequences we see in the movies.</p>
<p>After all, humans don’t usually aspire to be robots. If someone is considered “robotic” it’s nearly always a negative, an indication that they seem to lack emotion or critical thought. Or that they’re incredibly sleep-deprived.</p>
<h2>The Robot Edge?</h2>
<p>Of course, <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-52340651" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">in many ways, robots do have some advantages over humans</a>. In a manual labor environment, a robot can work in extreme temperatures and caustic environments. They don&#8217;t need a break – for lunch, for the restroom, or for any kind of home life. If they’re programmed correctly, robots don’t make mistakes. They’re not clumsy. And only some diabolical genius would program a robot to respond to stimuli with anger or violence. That would be all too human!</p>
<p>In fact, robots, in general, tend to avoid all the negative human emotions and attributes … they’re not cruel, insulting, lazy, vindictive, irrational, greedy, envious, power-hungry,<br /> selfish, tactless, or superficial.</p>
<p>On the other hand, robots don’t experience positive human emotions either, the ones that make humans such delightful creatures. As humans, we can also be friendly, helpful, charming, warmhearted, risk-taking, courageous, empathetic, inspiring, bold, brilliant, resourceful, benevolent, gracious, humble, and forgiving.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap "><img decoding="async" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-robots-and-automation-will-never-fully-replace-humans-and-that’s-a-good-thing-2-1.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Will Robots Replace Humans and Replicate Human Life" title="Will robots replace humans and replicate human life?" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>Be Careful What You Wish For</h2>
<p>Virtually no one is going to go out on a limb and say we will or should create a machine that replicates human life. We’re enormously complex beings. I’m not sure we could ever re-create all the physical/operational elements of the human body, let alone the cerebral circuiting. Humans aren’t perfect, so we’d also have to program in the flaws and shortcomings.</p>
<p>I, for one, am thankful for <a href="/artificial-intelligence/our-newest-unit-of-measure-1-human-intelligence-unit-2/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">human imperfections</a>. How else would we be able to value, appreciate, and aspire to be better people ourselves if we haven’t seen or experienced imperfection? And what would be the point of existing if there was nothing to aspire to?</p>
<h2>A Better Robot Role</h2>
<p>In fact, let’s approach the value of robots from that angle – human aspirations. We all come with fundamental basic needs – water, food, shelter, clothing, safety, and security. While many people who are struggling in poverty don’t have the luxury of thinking much past those basic needs, many others can aspire for more. For most of us, our goal is to move beyond those basic needs to attain higher-order needs, even to the point of self-enlightenment, as outlined in the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maslow%27s_hierarchy_of_needs" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">concept of the Hierarchy of Needs, developed by psychologist Abraham Maslow</a>.</p>
<p>Here’s where robots enter this picture. The reason so many of us have the luxury of making our way up Maslow’s hierarchical ladder is automation. Even though they may exhibit some human characteristics, they only exist to support our basic human needs. While this may conjure up the image of robot slaves, I have no problem with that. Robots in this sense are no more human than a TV or microwave oven. It’s just that we tend to anthropomorphize robots for better or, usually, worse.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap "><img decoding="async" width="700" height="412" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-robots-support-basic-human-needs-a-better-robot-role.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Robots Support Basic Human Needs is a Better Robot Role" title="Robots support basic human needs and is a better robot role, but will they ever truly care?" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-robots-support-basic-human-needs-a-better-robot-role.jpg 700w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-robots-support-basic-human-needs-a-better-robot-role-480x283.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw" class="wp-image-32502" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>Will robots ever truly care?</h2>
<p>Contrary to popular belief, most robot and AI systems currently act as a complement to humans rather than a replacement for them.</p>
<p>So, let’s keep machines and robots separate in our minds. We can design machines to perform or enhance certain physio-mechanical functions – like today’s pacemakers and exoskeletons for construction workers. We can strive to design fully autonomous systems to build cars and design bridges.</p>
<p>But meanwhile, we are all flawed humans and will still feel the need to compete, to belong, and to aspire. We’ll struggle to improve and do the right thing. We’ll crave attention, love, passion, and the human touch. Above all, we should never underestimate the power of the human touch.</p>
<p>According to most experts, we are still years away from general <a href="/artificial-intelligence/the-coming-era-of-ai-enhanced-superhumans/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">artificial intelligence</a> and full automation. But eventually, there will come a day where robots will perform most of our tasks, and the role of humans in the production cycle will become marginalized.</p>
<p>Robots are coming. They’re coming with or without our blessing, and in shapes and forms we can’t even imagine. But they will also come with limits, limits that we will soon discover along the way.</p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>By <a href="/thomas-frey-bio/">Futurist Thomas Frey</a>, author of <a href="/epiphany-z-book/">'Epiphany Z – 8 Radical Visions Transforming Your Future'</a></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/artificial-intelligence/robots-and-automation-will-never-fully-replace-humans-and-thats-a-good-thing/">Robots and automation will never fully replace humans. And that’s a good thing.</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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		<title>During periods of great chaos,  comes great opportunities!</title>
		<link>https://futuristspeaker.com/future-trends/during-periods-of-great-chaos-comes-great-opportunities/</link>
					<comments>https://futuristspeaker.com/future-trends/during-periods-of-great-chaos-comes-great-opportunities/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Thomas Frey]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 May 2020 23:05:56 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Future Trends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[automation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[covid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[facial recognition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future of business]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://futuristspeaker.flywheelsites.com/?p=30487</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-trends/during-periods-of-great-chaos-comes-great-opportunities/">During periods of great chaos,  comes great opportunities!</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><div class="et_pb_section et_pb_section_12 et_pb_with_background et_pb_fullwidth_section et_section_regular" >
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
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					<h1 class="entry-title">During periods of great chaos,  comes great opportunities!</h1>
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			</div><div class="et_pb_module et_pb_text et_pb_text_8  et_pb_text_align_left et_pb_bg_layout_light">
				
				
				
				
				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><div id="attachment_30505" style="width: 410px" class="wp-caption alignright"><img decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-30505" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-during-periods-of-chaos-comes-post-covid-opportunities.jpg" width="400" height="250" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: During Periods of Chaos Comes Post Covid Opportunities" title="During Periods of Chaos Comes Post Covid Opportunities" class="wp-image-30505 size-full" /><p id="caption-attachment-30505" class="wp-caption-text">Is this the time you’ve been waiting for to start a business?</p></div></p>
<p>It’s as if the Yahtzee game of life was just thoroughly shaken up, and an entirely new set of rules was dumped onto the table for us to deal with.</p>
<p>As we stare at this new rule set, yes we can spend our time complaining about it, or we can seize this golden opportunity, reinvent business, and run with it. After all, calamity is a great way to inspire creativity.</p>
<p>The only problem, opportunities are hard to spot, especially in today’s environment. It looks different, feels different, and may come wrapped in a legacy of shattered hopes and dreams.</p>
<p>Pre covid success stories will seem vastly different than the ones that follow. Think of this as the end of business as we know it and the beginning of something else.</p>
<p>Suddenly the sharing economy is bad. Stadiums are bad. In-person events, airports, crowded expos, parades, professional sports, movies, and comedy clubs have all been touched by the social distancing wand of disapproval.</p>
<p>Every post covid success story will come from those who managed to cut through the fog of uncertainty, make the right decisions, and build a durable strategy that can survive the tumultuous times ahead.</p>
<h2>So where should you look?</h2>
<p>One way is to look for good entry points in emerging new industries like delivery bots, e-learning, blockchain, VR conferences, synthetic biology, 5G apps, AI robotics, and quantum computing.</p>
<p>Another is to look for new trends in old industries like online marketplaces, digital payments, electronic health services, ghost kitchens, reshoring supply chains, online grocery stores, 3D printing, and last mile distribution centers.</p>
<p>Entrepreneurs building new businesses need to understand how the pandemic is shifting behavior and adapt to that change. History has shown that the best companies and the best founders come out of a crisis like this.</p>
<h2>Forming the Mindset of an Entrepreneur</h2>
<p>The pandemic and looming economic recession do make for a more challenging environment, so it’s especially important to consider what products and services are in demand right now, like food delivery, fitness, financial services, pharmaceutical, and e-commerce start-ups.</p>
<p>Once you develop a great, timely, and relevant idea, consider the following questions:<br />
&nbsp;</p>
<ul>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px; padding-top: 10px:">Who are your customers? In addition to deciding whether your product or service is targeted to consumers or businesses, ask yourself, “What sort of customer will want this, and is this the type of person I will enjoy working with?”</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Where do those customers spend their time? Immerse yourself into the social media platforms or online forums where your future customers are so you can gain a better understanding of their wants and needs.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">What are the best possible products for your customers? With a good understanding of who your customers are and what they need, you can fine-tune the product or service you intend to offer. That includes honing in on your pricing, defining what makes you different, and developing a unique selling proposition like a guarantee, bonus, premium, or exclusive deals to entice new customers.</li>
</ul></div>
			</div><div class="et_pb_module et_pb_image et_pb_image_8 et_pb_image_sticky">
				
				
				
				
				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="468" height="220" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-hot-areas-for-startup-in-post-covid-life.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Hot Areas for Startup in Post Covid Life" title="Hot Areas for Startup in Post Covid Life" class="wp-image-30511" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner">Iterate and test, rinse and repeat, will be the guiding principles for startups.</div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h3>1. Reshoring Operations</h3>
<p>Reverse globalization trends are already emerging as companies seeking supply chain resiliency are starting to move manufacturing closer to the consumer and creating redundancy in manufacturing and distribution operations. This trend will pick up steam as leaders ensure that their organizations are never caught off guard like this again.</p>
<h3>2. Cybersecurity</h3>
<p>Working from home and an increased dependence on internet connectivity are creating a perfect storm for cybersecurity issues. We’re seeing a growing need for improvement, both for our systems and to protect the personnel that could fall victim to phishing scams and other social engineering attacks. But the increased awareness of these attacks could be a boon to cybersecurity solutions providers.</p>
<h3>3. AI Facial Diagnostics</h3>
<p>Facial recognition tech is already being used as a tool in the fight against COVID-19. In China, companies like <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-facial-recognition/even-mask-wearers-can-be-idd-china-facial-recognition-firm-says-idUSKBN20W0WL" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Hanwang Technology have rolled out apps that can recognize faces</a>, even if the person is wearing a surgical mask. By employing temperature sensors these systems can also flag citizens with an elevated body temperature in a crowd since having a fever is one symptom of COVID-19. With additional tweaking, potential carriers of the coronavirus can be flagged and identified even in public spaces.</p>
<h3>4. Electronic Health Services</h3>
<p>Up to this point, telemedicine has not been the success story many were hoping for. Health-related services such as monitoring, advice and education between doctors and patients online over a secure connection, promised to be the forefront of the future of medicine. The overarching goal was to make state-of-the-art healthcare more accessible without waiting for hours at the doctor’s office. However, since only a handful of countries and regions have adopted telemedicine, this could easily become a golden opportunity for the right entrepreneurs.</p>
<h3>5. Automation</h3>
<p>Robotics will see an acceleration due to COVID-19 as companies look to implement more automation into their operations. New supply chains will emphasize local manufacturing, reshoring, and more lights-out productivity. This all requires new forms of robotics. Tech companies are being encouraged to rapidly adopt new tools and quickly iterate on their products and processes to bolster their manufacturing and logistics. Companies are turning to early stage startups for answers, and this will become more common as businesses struggle to stay ahead of the curve.</p>
<h3>6. Funeral Industry</h3>
<p>The entire funeral industry has moved to more of a “cremate and wait” approach to dealing with deaths during Covid-19. For those wanting to wait for a casket/cemetery burial, being able to find refrigerated storage for bodies has become particularly challenging. Virtual funerals are now being produced with mixed reviews. While funerals have been integral to the overall grieving process, families and friends of the deceased have had to make do. For all these reasons, the funeral industry has become a prime candidate for disruption.</p>
<h3>7. Buying Businesses Out of Bankruptcy</h3>
<p>Over the coming months many businesses will use the coronavirus as an opportune time to throw in the towel. Some will do it out of necessity, others are simply tired of the daily grind, and still more will reach their end due to a variety of circumstances. A few will become available through bankruptcy while others will show up on other posting sites. But rest assured, there will be tons of businesses for sale. The primary challenge will be for you to assess the true value of the business and turn it into an ongoing profit center.</p>
<h3>8. Retail</h3>
<p>Retail comes in many forms ranging from online shopping, to mobile businesses, custom design shops, ghost storefronts, and traditional bricks and mortar. Whatever form the seller may take, our appetite for buying things has not gone away. Entrepreneurs trying to build a retail business will have to understand how the pandemic is going to shift user behavior in the future and adapt.</p>
<h3>9. Healthcare</h3>
<p>Healthcare is transitioning from an industry driven by pharmaceuticals to an industry driven by data. A digital twin is a virtual representation of a real-life physical product, building, or person. It can take the form of a chair, desk, lamp, house, or even your next-door neighbor. With enough sensors, any item that exists in the physical world can be replicated with a digital twin. So how long will it be before doctors can monitor some’s health remotely through their digital twin? This example is just one of many opportunities in our <a href="/technology-trends/never-again-10-future-inventions-designed-to-identify-manage-and-crush-future-pandemics/">future healthcare industry</a>.</p>
<h3>10. Assisted Living Centers</h3>
<p>Retirement villages, including walled, gated, and separate senior living enclaves have had their day. Eight in ten senior living executives report that residents are moving out faster than new ones are moving in. The inability of family members to visit residents during a lock-down over the past few months, coupled with high costs at a time of widespread economic distress make this a perfect storm for disruption. Some of these short-term challenges will fade over time, but many will not.</p>
<h3>11. Freelancers</h3>
<p>The coronavirus pandemic is thrusting our work-life into the spotlight, revealing some of the fundamental problems that define work for the 57 million Americans, or 35% of the country’s workforce that make their living by being self-employed. Freelancers contribute $1 trillion annually to the GDP, and they operate largely without benefits, meaning no sick leave, no unemployment, and no paid time off. As the pandemic progresses, it’s becoming clear that demand for freelance workers, whether they’re writers, performers, ride-share drivers, or hospitality workers, is increasing. Self-employment could easily become a safer option than full-time jobs in the future.</p>
<h3>12. Portable Charging Units</h3>
<p>The world’s electric-car infrastructure is growing by leaps and bounds. But there are still gaps – places without chargers that could be served if EV charging was portable, flexible, and put on wheels. Colorado-based <a href="https://lightningsystems.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Lightning Systems</a> today became one of the latest companies to introduce a mobile DC fast charger for electric vehicles. As electric cars become increasingly common, the demand for battery failure solutions in odd locations will become far more common.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="469" height="312" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-demand-increase-for-freelancers-in-post-coronavirus-life.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Demand Increase for Freelancers in Post Coronavirus Life " title="Demand Increase for Freelancers in Post Coronavirus Life " class="wp-image-30502" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>It’s important to keep your peripheral vision intact while scanning the opportunity landscape.</p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>Final Thoughts</h2>
<p>It’s important to keep your peripheral vision intact while you’re scanning the opportunity landscape, because most that appear will look nothing like a possible candidate when you first see them.</p>
<p>Make no mistake, right now is a great time to start a business, because there’s a tremendous opportunity to provide new versions of products and services that people want and need.</p>
<p>The pandemic has accelerated the pace of digitalization. Prime candidates to focus on are businesses that can be improved by making either a structural change or where a change that was already anticipated has just kicked it into another gear.</p>
<p>One important step is to test your product or service with prospective customers. Given some of the uncertainties now, it’s critical to start with a minimal budget to minimize the downside.</p>
<p>You will want to test it out on a small group first before you invest a lot of money into it. Iterate and test, rinse and repeat, will be the guiding principles for startups. Once proven, you can pour a lot of gasoline on the fire and scale it as quickly as you need to.</p>
<p>Be patient, be persistent, innovate, and realize that nothing happens overnight.</p>
<p>As always, please feel free to weigh in and let us know what you think.</div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>By <a href="/thomas-frey-bio/">Futurist Thomas Frey</a>, author of <a href="/epiphany-z-book/">'Epiphany Z – 8 Radical Visions Transforming Your Future'</a></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-trends/during-periods-of-great-chaos-comes-great-opportunities/">During periods of great chaos,  comes great opportunities!</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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