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		<title>The Great Transportation Shakeout: When Cars, Drones, and Airlines Collide</title>
		<link>https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/the-great-transportation-shakeout-when-cars-drones-and-airlines-collide/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Thomas Frey]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2026 19:25:56 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Future of Transportation]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Autonomous cars and drones are redrawing the map— airlines now compete with every technology that moves people door to door. By Futurist Thomas Frey The Assumption Nobody Questions When you need to travel 500 miles, you assume you&#8217;ll fly. It&#8217;s faster, right? Three hours in airports plus one hour in the air beats eight hours [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/the-great-transportation-shakeout-when-cars-drones-and-airlines-collide/">The Great Transportation Shakeout: When Cars, Drones, and Airlines Collide</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;">Autonomous cars and drones are redrawing the map—<br />
airlines now compete with every technology that moves people door to door.</p>
<p><em>By Futurist Thomas Frey</em></p>
<h4>The Assumption Nobody Questions</h4>
<p>When you need to travel 500 miles, you assume you&#8217;ll fly.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s faster, right? Three hours in airports plus one hour in the air beats eight hours driving. The math is obvious.</p>
<p>Except the math is changing.</p>
<p>What if the car drove itself while you slept? What if you could work the entire trip without cramped airplane seats? What if you could leave at 11 PM, sleep through the night, and wake up at your destination at 7 AM—no airports, no security, no boarding?</p>
<p>What if a drone could pick you up from your driveway, fly you 300 miles in 90 minutes, and land at your destination&#8217;s driveway—no terminals, no parking, no luggage claim?</p>
<p>Within five years, autonomous vehicles and pilotless drones will fundamentally reshape the competitive landscape of transportation. And commercial airlines are about to discover they&#8217;ve been competing in the wrong category.</p>
<p>They thought they competed with other airlines. They actually compete with any technology that moves people from Point A to Point B.</p>
<p>And they&#8217;re about to lose a lot of those competitions.</p>
<h4>The Three-Hour Tipping Point</h4>
<p>Here&#8217;s the vulnerability in commercial aviation: trips under 500 miles are miserable experiences with minimal time savings.</p>
<p>Los Angeles to San Francisco: 400 miles. Flight time: 1 hour 15 minutes. Total trip time including security, boarding, taxiing, baggage claim, ground transportation: 4-5 hours.</p>
<p>Now consider the autonomous vehicle alternative in 2028:</p>
<p>Summon car at 10 PM. Sleep in fully reclining seat. Wake at destination at 6 AM. Total trip time: 8 hours. Time you were awake and dealing with travel: 20 minutes.</p>
<p>Which is actually more convenient?</p>
<p>The autonomous vehicle becomes a mobile hotel room. You&#8217;re not &#8220;traveling&#8221; for 8 hours—you&#8217;re sleeping for 7.5 hours and getting 20 minutes of productive time before and after.</p>
<p>The airline experience requires you to be awake and actively managing logistics for 4-5 hours, plus you still need a hotel at your destination.</p>
<p>For business travelers especially, the calculus shifts dramatically. That 8-hour overnight autonomous trip means you arrive rested, at a specific address, with no airport hassle, for a fraction of the cost.</p>
<p><strong>Prediction</strong>: By 2030, autonomous vehicles will capture 40% of commercial airline traffic for trips under 500 miles. By 2035, that grows to 70%.</p>
<p>Airlines will fight back with price cuts, but they can&#8217;t compete on convenience. You can&#8217;t sleep comfortably on a plane. You can&#8217;t avoid security theater. You can&#8217;t get dropped at your actual destination.</p>
<div id="attachment_1041508" style="width: 1466px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1041508" class="wp-image-1041508 size-full" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5756.jpg" alt="" width="1456" height="816" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5756.jpg 1456w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5756-1280x717.jpg 1280w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5756-980x549.jpg 980w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5756-480x269.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 1456px, 100vw" /><p id="caption-attachment-1041508" class="wp-caption-text">Pilotless drones eliminate airports—turning 200-mile trips into quick, driveway-to-driveway hops that could erase regional airlines.</p></div>
<h4>The Drone Disruption</h4>
<p>Pilotless drones solve a different problem: they&#8217;re faster than cars but avoid airports entirely.</p>
<p>Current aviation drones (2026) can carry 400-600 pounds—enough for 2-3 passengers with minimal luggage. Range: 200-400 miles depending on battery technology. Speed: 100-150 mph.</p>
<p>By 2029, improved battery technology and hybrid-electric systems extend range to 600 miles at 180 mph.</p>
<p>The value proposition: vertical takeoff and landing from your location to your destination. No runways. No terminals. No security.</p>
<p><strong>The 200-mile sweet spot</strong>: Drones dominate trips of 150-300 miles where they&#8217;re dramatically faster than cars but airports make planes impractical.</p>
<p>New York to Philadelphia: 95 miles. Currently a 2-hour train ride or 2.5-hour drive. Drone: 35 minutes driveway to driveway.</p>
<p>San Francisco to Sacramento: 90 miles. Currently 1.5-hour drive in traffic or expensive short flight. Drone: 30 minutes.</p>
<p>Chicago to Milwaukee: 90 miles. Drive: 2 hours. Drone: 35 minutes.</p>
<p>For these distances, drones are unbeatable. No infrastructure needed—just a small landing pad in your driveway and one at your destination.</p>
<p><strong>Prediction</strong>: By 2032, drones capture 60% of trips in the 150-300 mile range currently served by regional airlines and short-haul flights. By 2035, regional airlines serving these routes effectively cease to exist.</p>
<h4>The Overnight Autonomous Revolution</h4>
<p>Here&#8217;s where it gets interesting for longer distances: the willingness to travel overnight.</p>
<p>Currently, driving 600 miles (10 hours) is exhausting. You lose a day to travel. It&#8217;s cheaper than flying but the time cost is prohibitive.</p>
<p>Autonomous vehicles eliminate that calculation. You&#8217;re not losing a day—you&#8217;re sleeping through travel time you&#8217;d lose anyway.</p>
<p><strong>The new long-haul calculation</strong>:</p>
<p>Boston to Chicago: 1,000 miles. Flight: 2.5 hours plus 4 hours airport/logistics = 6.5 hours total. Cost: $300-500.</p>
<p>Autonomous vehicle: Depart 9 PM, sleep, arrive 9 AM. 12 hours total, 11.5 sleeping. Cost: $80-120 in electricity plus vehicle fee.</p>
<p>You save $200-400 and arrive rested without airport hassle. The &#8220;time cost&#8221; is just the 30 minutes of awake time managing the trip.</p>
<p>Business travelers will do this calculation and choose autonomous vehicles for any trip they can schedule overnight.</p>
<p>Families will choose it because four people in an autonomous vehicle costs the same as one person, while four airline tickets quadruple the cost.</p>
<p><strong>Prediction</strong>: By 2033, autonomous vehicles capture 25% of overnight-schedulable trips in the 600-1,000 mile range. By 2037, that grows to 45%.</p>
<p>This doesn&#8217;t kill airlines for these routes—but it forces massive price cuts that destroy profitability.</p>
<div id="attachment_1041505" style="width: 1930px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1041505" class="wp-image-1041505 size-full" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5759.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1076" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5759.jpg 1920w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5759-1280x717.jpg 1280w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5759-980x549.jpg 980w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5759-480x269.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 1920px, 100vw" /><p id="caption-attachment-1041505" class="wp-caption-text">By 2037, autonomous overnight travel captures nearly half mid-range trips—forcing airlines into profit-crushing price wars.</p></div>
<h4>Who Wins in Each Distance Category</h4>
<p><strong>0-150 miles</strong>: Autonomous cars dominate completely. Drones are overkill for short distances. Planes never made sense. Cars win by default.</p>
<p><strong>150-300 miles</strong>: Drones win decisively. Fast enough to beat cars significantly, convenient enough to beat planes completely. Regional airlines collapse.</p>
<p><strong>300-500 miles</strong>: Split between drones (for speed) and autonomous vehicles (for cost and luggage capacity). Airlines retain some business travel but lose leisure travel almost entirely.</p>
<p><strong>500-800 miles</strong>: Autonomous vehicles overnight become the preferred option for price-sensitive travelers. Drones compete for daytime travel where speed matters. Airlines retain business travelers who can&#8217;t travel overnight.</p>
<p><strong>800-1,500 miles</strong>: Airlines retain majority share but face serious autonomous vehicle competition for overnight-schedulable trips. Pricing power collapses.</p>
<p><strong>1,500+ miles</strong>: Airlines maintain dominance. Autonomous vehicles can&#8217;t compete on time for cross-country trips. Drones lack range. Airlines safe here.</p>
<h4>The Timeline of Disruption</h4>
<p><strong>2027-2029: Early Adoption Phase</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Autonomous vehicles available in major metro areas</li>
<li>Pilot programs for overnight autonomous travel</li>
<li>First commercial passenger drones operating in limited markets</li>
<li>Airlines ignore the threat, focusing on traditional competition</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>2029-2031: Market Testing</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Autonomous overnight travel proves popular with early adopters</li>
<li>Drones expand to 20-30 major city pairs</li>
<li>First regional airline bankruptcies</li>
<li>Major airlines begin acknowledging competitive threat</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>2031-2033: Acceleration</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Autonomous vehicles ubiquitous in developed nations</li>
<li>Drone networks connect 100+ cities</li>
<li>Airlines slash prices on routes under 500 miles</li>
<li>Business model stress becomes visible in airline earnings</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>2033-2035: Shakeout</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Regional airlines largely extinct</li>
<li>Major airlines abandon most routes under 400 miles</li>
<li>Airline consolidation intensifies</li>
<li>Hub-and-spoke model partially collapses</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>2035-2037: New Equilibrium</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Airlines focus on 1,000+ mile routes and international travel</li>
<li>Drones dominant for 150-500 miles</li>
<li>Autonomous vehicles dominant for overnight-schedulable trips</li>
<li>Three distinct transportation markets with minimal overlap</li>
</ul>
<h4>The Regulatory Battles</h4>
<p>None of this happens smoothly. Airlines will fight.</p>
<p><strong>FAA Resistance</strong>: Expect the airline industry to lobby heavily for drone regulations that make them impractical—altitude restrictions, noise limits, flight path requirements that force drones to behave like small planes.</p>
<p>Outcome: Delayed but not prevented. Drones too useful. Public pressure forces sensible regulation by 2030.</p>
<p><strong>Airport Subsidies</strong>: Regional airports will demand government support as traffic collapses. Some will receive it, delaying the inevitable.</p>
<p>Outcome: Taxpayer money wasted propping up obsolete infrastructure, but market forces win eventually.</p>
<p><strong>Safety Theater</strong>: Airlines will highlight every autonomous vehicle accident and every drone malfunction, demanding stricter regulations.</p>
<p>Outcome: Backfires when data shows autonomous vehicles are 10x safer than human drivers and drones have better safety records than small aircraft.</p>
<p><strong>Union Resistance</strong>: Pilot unions will fight pilotless drones. Driver unions will fight autonomous vehicles.</p>
<p>Outcome: Delaying tactics work for 3-5 years, then collapse as economic pressure becomes overwhelming.</p>
<div id="attachment_1041509" style="width: 1354px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1041509" class="wp-image-1041509 size-full" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5755.jpg" alt="" width="1344" height="896" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5755.jpg 1344w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5755-1280x853.jpg 1280w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5755-980x653.jpg 980w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5755-480x320.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 1344px, 100vw" /><p id="caption-attachment-1041509" class="wp-caption-text">Airlines run on hubs and schedules; autonomous cars and drones win with driveway departures, on-demand timing, and frictionless convenience.</p></div>
<h4>Why Airlines Can&#8217;t Compete on Convenience</h4>
<p>The fundamental problem for airlines: they&#8217;re built on a 20th-century hub-and-spoke model that requires:</p>
<ul>
<li>Expensive infrastructure (airports, runways, terminals)</li>
<li>Security screening (unavoidable post-9/11)</li>
<li>Centralized departure points (hub cities)</li>
<li>Fixed schedules (can&#8217;t leave when you want)</li>
<li>Standardized routes (point-to-point requires massive demand)</li>
</ul>
<p>Autonomous vehicles and drones have none of these constraints:</p>
<ul>
<li>No infrastructure needed (roads already exist, drones use driveways)</li>
<li>No security screening (private vehicles)</li>
<li>Departure from anywhere (your driveway)</li>
<li>Leave whenever you want (on-demand)</li>
<li>Point-to-point for any route (no minimum demand threshold)</li>
</ul>
<p>Airlines can compete on speed for long distances. They cannot compete on convenience for any distance or cost for short distances.</p>
<h4>The Winners and Losers</h4>
<p><strong>Winners:</strong></p>
<p><strong>Tesla/Waymo/Chinese EV makers</strong>: Whoever dominates autonomous vehicles captures enormous market. Tesla&#8217;s lead in autonomous driving technology positions them well.</p>
<p><strong>Drone manufacturers</strong>: Companies like Joby Aviation, Archer, Lilium compete to dominate the 150-500 mile market. Winner-take-most dynamics likely.</p>
<p><strong>Battery technology companies</strong>: Range and recharge speed determine competitiveness. Breakthrough in battery tech creates winner.</p>
<p><strong>Real estate near drone pads</strong>: Properties with drone landing capability gain significant value premium.</p>
<p><strong>Consumers</strong>: More choices, lower costs, better convenience.</p>
<p><strong>Losers:</strong></p>
<p><strong>Regional airlines</strong>: Essentially extinct by 2035.</p>
<p><strong>Major airlines on short-haul routes</strong>: United, American, Delta lose 40-60% of domestic revenue by 2037.</p>
<p><strong>Regional airports</strong>: Traffic collapses, subsidies can&#8217;t sustain them, many close.</p>
<p><strong>Airport-adjacent businesses</strong>: Hotels, parking, rental cars serving short-haul travelers disappear.</p>
<p><strong>Pilot profession</strong>: Demand for commercial pilots drops 30-40% by 2037.</p>
<div id="attachment_1041512" style="width: 1466px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1041512" class="wp-image-1041512 size-full" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5752.jpg" alt="" width="1456" height="816" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5752.jpg 1456w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5752-1280x717.jpg 1280w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5752-980x549.jpg 980w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Autonomous-Vehicles-5752-480x269.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 1456px, 100vw" /><p id="caption-attachment-1041512" class="wp-caption-text">In transportation’s shakeout, regulatory speed—not technology—may decide whether China or the West captures the future.</p></div>
<h4>The International Wild Card</h4>
<p>This analysis assumes U.S./European regulatory environment. China might move faster:</p>
<p><strong>China scenario</strong>: Government prioritizes autonomous vehicles and drones as strategic industries. Regulations streamlined. Infrastructure built rapidly. Full deployment by 2030, five years ahead of West.</p>
<p>Result: Chinese companies dominate technology, export globally, capture market before Western companies fully deploy.</p>
<p><strong>Implication</strong>: The transportation shakeout might be won or lost based on regulatory speed, not technology quality.</p>
<h4>What This Means for You</h4>
<p>If you&#8217;re planning travel in 2030:</p>
<ul>
<li>Book flights only for 1,000+ miles or international</li>
<li>Use drones for 150-500 miles when time matters</li>
<li>Use overnight autonomous vehicles for 500-1,000 miles when cost matters</li>
<li>Own nothing—subscribe to transportation services on-demand</li>
</ul>
<p>If you&#8217;re investing:</p>
<ul>
<li>Short airline stocks serving regional routes</li>
<li>Long autonomous vehicle manufacturers</li>
<li>Long drone manufacturers</li>
<li>Long battery technology</li>
<li>Short regional airport real estate</li>
</ul>
<p>If you work in aviation:</p>
<ul>
<li>Retrain for long-haul operations or exit industry</li>
<li>Regional airline jobs disappearing first</li>
<li>Pilot profession shrinking but not disappearing</li>
</ul>
<h4>The Twenty-Year View</h4>
<p>By 2045, commercial aviation looks radically different:</p>
<ul>
<li>60% smaller than 2025 measured by passenger-miles</li>
<li>Focused almost entirely on 1,500+ mile routes and international</li>
<li>Ticket prices 40% higher on remaining routes (loss of economy of scale)</li>
<li>Regional airlines extinct</li>
<li>Hub airports downsized, many closed</li>
<li>Different industry—luxury long-distance travel, not mass transportation</li>
</ul>
<p>The competitive landscape that seemed stable for 70 years reshuffles completely in 20 years.</p>
<p>Not because airlines got worse. Because alternatives got dramatically better.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s how disruption works. The incumbent doesn&#8217;t fail—they just become irrelevant for most use cases.</p>
<p>Welcome to the transportation shakeout. Choose your vehicle carefully.</p>
<p><strong>Related Articles:</strong></p>
<p><a href="https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/aerospace-and-defense/our-insights/urban-air-mobility">The Economics of Urban Air Mobility</a> &#8211; Analysis of drone transportation markets</p>
<p><a href="https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA744-1.html">Autonomous Vehicles and the Future of Long-Distance Travel</a> &#8211; RAND study on AV adoption patterns</p>
<p><a href="https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-decline-of-regional-air-service/">Why Regional Airlines Are Disappearing</a> &#8211; Economic analysis of small-market aviation</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/the-great-transportation-shakeout-when-cars-drones-and-airlines-collide/">The Great Transportation Shakeout: When Cars, Drones, and Airlines Collide</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>The Coming Data Wars</title>
		<link>https://futuristspeaker.com/artificial-intelligence/the-coming-data-wars/</link>
					<comments>https://futuristspeaker.com/artificial-intelligence/the-coming-data-wars/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Thomas Frey]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Nov 2023 00:59:52 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Artificial Intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[autonomous vehicle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blockchain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dark web]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[drone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ethics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future of technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[robotics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vision of the future]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/artificial-intelligence/the-coming-data-wars/">The Coming Data Wars</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="1200" height="675" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-the-coming-data-wars.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: The Coming Data Wars" title="The Coming Data Wars" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-the-coming-data-wars.jpg 1200w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-the-coming-data-wars-980x551.jpg 980w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-the-coming-data-wars-480x270.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1200px, 100vw" class="wp-image-39637" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>In the ever-evolving landscape of artificial intelligence, the quest for new data sources is akin to the uncharted exploration of a digital frontier, promising to redefine the capabilities of <a href="https://www.elastic.co/what-is/large-language-models" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title="What is a large language model (LLM)?">Large Language Models (LLMs)</a> in profound ways.</p>
<p>As we uncover and integrate diverse and unconventional streams of data, from the intricacies of human biometrics to the vast expanse of interstellar communications, AI systems will transition from being mere repositories of information to dynamic entities capable of understanding and engaging with the world in multidimensional ways.</p>
<p>This proliferation of data sources will not only enhance the cognitive depth of AI but also broaden its application across domains, allowing it to make connections and generate insights that are currently beyond our comprehension.</p>
<p>The introduction of these novel data wellsprings stands to dramatically alter the AI landscape, infusing LLMs with an unprecedented level of sophistication. For instance, by tapping into environmental sensors, an LLM could predict natural disasters with greater accuracy, or by <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/artificial-intelligence/the-great-ai-disruption-six-startling-predictions-that-will-shape-our-lives-and-test-our-limits/" title="The Great AI Disruption: Six Startling Predictions That Will Shape Our Lives and Test Our Limits">analyzing real-time human emotional cues</a>, it could offer empathetic support, simulating a degree of social intelligence that has been the sole purview of humans.</p>
<p>As AI begins to interface more intimately with the physical world through these diverse data points, its utility will expand, becoming an indispensable tool that transcends conventional use, influencing everything from policymaking to personal wellness. The horizon of AI&#8217;s potential is set to expand exponentially as it evolves to not only interpret and respond to the data it encounters but also to anticipate and shape outcomes in proactive, beneficial ways.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap "><img decoding="async" width="700" height="395" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-24-future-sources-of-ai-data-that-dont-exist-today.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: 24 Future Sources of AI Data that don’t Exist Today" title="24 Future Sources of AI Data that don’t Exist Today" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-24-future-sources-of-ai-data-that-dont-exist-today.jpg 700w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-24-future-sources-of-ai-data-that-dont-exist-today-480x271.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw" class="wp-image-39630" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Data captured from the operation of autonomous vehicles!</span></p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>24 Future Sources of AI Data that Don’t Exist Today</h2>
<p>In 20 years, as AI systems evolve, they will likely ingest a far broader spectrum of data types. Here are 24 unconventional data sources that will likely provide unique inputs to future AI systems, along with a brief explanation of how they might influence the outcomes.</p>
<h3>1. Drone-Captured Data:</h3>
<p>Drones could be ubiquitous, not just for delivery and photography, but for <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-agriculture/the-dawn-of-agricultural-drones-a-revolution-in-farming-is-only-a-drone-call-away/" title="The Dawn of Agricultural Drones: A Revolution in Farming is Only a Drone Call Away">monitoring agriculture</a>, infrastructure, environmental changes, and even everyday city dynamics. The high-resolution video and other sensory data they collect would be invaluable for AI in tasks ranging from traffic management to disaster response.</p>
<h3>2. Autonomous Vehicles:</h3>
<p>The fleets of <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-scenarios/the-rise-of-ai-eight-scenarios-for-living-in-an-ai-dominated-future/" title="The Rise of AI: Eight Scenarios for Living in an AI-Dominated Future">self-driving cars</a>, trucks, and perhaps even flying vehicles will generate massive amounts of video and sensor data. AI could use this information for real-time traffic analysis, urban planning, and improving autonomous navigation systems themselves.</p>
<h3>3.Satellite Surveillance:</h3>
<p>Enhanced satellite imaging technology will likely provide global coverage with unprecedented resolution, including video. This data could help AI <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/technology-trends/swarmbots-ushering-humanity-into-a-brave-new-era-or-opening-pandoras-box/" title="Swarmbots: Ushering Humanity into a Brave New Era or Opening Pandora’s Box?">monitor environmental changes</a> and urban development and even provide insights into socio-economic patterns on a global scale.</p>
<h3>4. Personal Video Feeds:</h3>
<p>With the potential expansion of wearable technology, personal live video feeds could become as common as social media updates are today. AI systems might process these feeds for a variety of applications, including personalized recommendations, augmented reality (AR) overlays, and social interaction analysis.</p>
<h3>5. Quantum Fluctuation Monitoring:</h3>
<p>AI could use data from quantum fluctuation events to improve randomness in algorithms, potentially enhancing cryptographic security or simulation realism.</p>
<h3>6. Dream Interpretation Streams:</h3>
<p>By analyzing data from devices that interpret dreams, AI might uncover insights into human psychology, influencing developments in mental health treatments and human-computer interaction.</p>
<h3>7. Nano-Scale Fabric Sensors:</h3>
<p>Data from clothing with embedded nano-sensors could provide health metrics and environmental data, refining personalized healthcare and local environmental forecasts.</p>
<h3>8. Microbiome Sequencing:</h3>
<p>Regular sampling and sequencing of human microbiomes could give AIs information on well-being and lifestyle, possibly affecting nutritional advice and health diagnostics.</p>
<h3>9. Atmospheric Electromagnetic Field Sensors:</h3>
<p>AIs could use this data to predict geological and weather events, even potentially providing early warnings for earthquakes or tsunamis.</p>
<h3>10. Affective Computing Data:</h3>
<p>AI systems could process data on human emotions from affective computing, tailoring media content, marketing strategies, or even social policies to emotional well-being.</p>
<h3>11. Blockchain Analytics:</h3>
<p>Beyond financial transactions, blockchain data could inform AI on societal trends and trust networks, impacting economic forecasting and governance models.</p>
<h3>12. Plant Communication Signals:</h3>
<p>Studying inter-plant chemical signaling could help AI optimize agricultural practices or even contribute to bio-hybrid communication systems.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap "><img decoding="async" width="700" height="395" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-plant-communication-signals.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Plant Communication Signals" title="Plant Communication Signals" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-plant-communication-signals.jpg 700w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-plant-communication-signals-480x271.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw" class="wp-image-39631" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Data captured from plant communication networks!</span></p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h3>13. Dark Web Monitoring:</h3>
<p>By <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/artificial-intelligence/curbing-ai-potential-dark-side-a-case-study-on-regulating-ai-misuse/" title="Curbing AI’s Potential Dark Side: A Case Study on Regulating AI Misuse">analyzing patterns and metadata from the dark web</a>, AI could predict cybersecurity threats and illegal trade trends, aiding law enforcement and security protocols.</p>
<h3>14. Urban Acoustic Patterns:</h3>
<p>Sound data from cities could help AI in urban planning by identifying areas of high noise pollution influencing <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-trends/11-thoughts-on-designing-homes-for-2040-and-beyond/" title="11 Thoughts on Designing Homes for 2040 and Beyond">building designs</a> and public space layouts.</p>
<h3>15. Astrophysical Data:</h3>
<p>Deep space measurements could train AI to improve navigation systems for space exploration and inspire new physics algorithms in other domains.</p>
<h3>16. Synesthetic Data:</h3>
<p>Devices that convert data types, like turning images into sounds, could train AI to assist people with disabilities or <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-trends/how-unusual-forms-of-digital-assets-will-transform-our-world-by-2040/" title="How Unusual Forms of Digital Assets Will Transform Our World by 2040">create new types of multimedia content</a>.</p>
<h3>17. Neural Dust:</h3>
<p>Tiny, implanted sensors could provide real-time data on neural activity, potentially improving AI in areas such as neurotechnology and human augmentation.</p>
<h3>18. Electroceutical Feedback:</h3>
<p>Information from electronic medical devices that use electrical signals to affect and monitor bodily functions could refine AI-driven treatments and health monitoring.</p>
<h3>19. Subvocalization Detection:</h3>
<p>AI could analyze unspoken words captured by throat sensors, improving silent communication technologies or offering new interfaces for the disabled.</p>
<h3>20. Human Energy Output:</h3>
<p>Data on the energy expenditure of individuals could lead AI to personalize fitness programs work schedules, and even influence urban transportation planning.</p>
<h3>21. Cross-Cultural Interaction Patterns:</h3>
<p>AI could use data from global communication networks to understand cultural dynamics, enhancing translation services and international relations algorithms.</p>
<h3>22. Smart Dust:</h3>
<p>Swarms of microscopic sensors could monitor environments at a granular level, providing AI with data for ecological management or disaster mitigation.</p>
<h3>23. Personal Biometric Maps:</h3>
<p>Constant monitoring of individual biometrics could give AI insights into <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-trends/how-unusual-forms-of-digital-assets-will-transform-our-world-by-2040/" title="How Unusual Forms of Digital Assets Will Transform Our World by 2040">personal health</a> trends, predict medical events, or tailor user experiences.</p>
<h3>24. Interstellar Object Tracking:</h3>
<p>As space monitoring improves, AI could use data from passing comets or asteroids to learn more about solar system formation and, potentially, for space mining ventures.</p>
<p>Each of these data sources provides a unique perspective that can refine AI&#8217;s understanding in specific domains. From enhancing personal health and security to steering societal-scale policies and even informing interstellar exploration, the blend of these diverse data streams will likely make future AI systems extraordinarily versatile and insightful.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap "><img decoding="async" width="700" height="395" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-using-ai-to-manage-our-health.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Using AI to Manage Our Health" title="Using AI to Manage Our Health" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-using-ai-to-manage-our-health.jpg 700w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-using-ai-to-manage-our-health-480x271.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw" class="wp-image-39635" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-weight: 400;">With enough physiological data and advanced predictive analytics, </span><span style="font-weight: 400;">an AI system will become an indispensable tool in managing your health</span></p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>Using AI to Manage Our Health</h2>
<p>In the 2040s, an AI system that focuses on capturing and interpreting data from your body could potentially serve as a highly personalized health expert, providing insights that were previously unattainable or required extensive medical testing. Here are several ways in which such a system could benefit your understanding and management of personal health:</p>
<h3>1. Early Disease Detection:</h3>
<p>The LLM could analyze real-time data streams from wearable sensors tracking vital signs like heart rate variability, blood oxygen levels, and sleep patterns. By detecting subtle deviations from your baseline that may indicate the onset of conditions such as heart disease or sleep apnea, the LLM could prompt early medical intervention.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3>2. Nutritional Optimization:</h3>
<p>With data from sensors analyzing your blood chemistry and gut microbiome, the LLM could determine which nutrients you may be lacking and recommend a personalized diet plan. It might tell you that your body optimally metabolizes certain types of food at specific times of the day, leading to better health outcomes.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3>3. Mood and Mental Health Monitoring:</h3>
<p>By assessing data from voice tonality, facial expression, and perhaps even neurochemical sensors, the LLM could detect patterns associated with mental health states. It could suggest activities or interventions to improve mood and well-being, such as when you might benefit from exposure to natural light to counteract symptoms of depression.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3>4. Customized Exercise Regimes:</h3>
<p>The LLM, using data from motion sensors and muscle activity trackers, could craft a bespoke fitness program that aligns with your body&#8217;s recovery state and muscle growth patterns. It could optimize the timing and type of exercise to enhance performance and reduce the risk of injury.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3>5. Personalized Medicine:</h3>
<p>Genomic sequencing combined with real-time health monitoring could allow the LLM to predict your response to various medications, enabling truly personalized medicine. It would advise on the most effective drugs with the least side effects for your genetic makeup and current health status.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3>6. Health Span and Aging:</h3>
<p>By tracking age-related biomarkers and integrating longevity research, the LLM could offer strategies to slow down the aging process at a cellular level, such as suggesting specific antioxidants or telomerase activators that are most effective for you.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3>7. Stress Management:</h3>
<p>The system might notice correlations between certain activities, heart rate patterns, and cortisol levels, providing insights on stress triggers and recommending personalized stress-reduction techniques, which could include mindful breathing exercises or time management strategies.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3>8. Disease Progression Monitoring:</h3>
<p>For chronic conditions, the LLM would track disease progression meticulously, allowing for timely adjustments in treatment. It could foresee exacerbations of conditions like asthma or diabetes and prompt preemptive measures.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3>9. Environmental Interactions:</h3>
<p>The LLM could correlate environmental data (like air quality) with your physiological data to determine if you are particularly sensitive to certain conditions, guiding you to make lifestyle changes or avoid exposures that could impact your health.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3>10. Surgical and Recovery Outcomes:</h3>
<p>For surgical procedures, the LLM could predict outcomes based on your unique health profile, helping doctors customize surgical techniques and post-operative care to ensure the best recovery.</p>
<p>In essence, with comprehensive physiological data and advanced predictive analytics, an LLM could become an indispensable tool in managing your health, offering tailored advice that evolves with your changing physiological needs and environmental interactions.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap "><img decoding="async" width="700" height="395" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-understanding-the-relationship-between-cause-and-effect.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Understanding the Relationship Between Cause and Effect" title="Understanding the Relationship Between Cause and Effect" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-understanding-the-relationship-between-cause-and-effect.jpg 700w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-understanding-the-relationship-between-cause-and-effect-480x271.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw" class="wp-image-39634" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-weight: 400;">We currently understand less than one-thousandth of one percent </span><span style="font-weight: 400;">of all cause-and-effect relationships in the world!</span></p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>Understanding the Relationship Between Cause and Effect</h2>
<p>AI, empowered by vast datasets, can unravel the complex tapestry of cause and effect in ways that human analysis alone cannot. Through its capacity to process and analyze large volumes of data rapidly, AI can identify patterns and correlations that may be indicative of causal relationships.</p>
<p>Machine learning models, particularly those using algorithms designed to tease out causal inferences like Bayesian networks or causal discovery algorithms, can suggest hypotheses about which factors are likely causes and which are likely effects. This form of analysis can be invaluable in fields ranging from epidemiology, where understanding the spread of disease is critical, to marketing, where it’s important to know which strategies lead to increased sales.</p>
<p>By leveraging AI, we can begin to predict outcomes and make more informed decisions, whether it&#8217;s anticipating the ripple effects of economic policy, mitigating the impact of climate change, or tailoring medical treatments to individuals. AI acts as a force multiplier for human cognition, giving us the tools to see the invisible threads that connect actions to outcomes in the intricate dance of causality.</p>
<p>Here are six distinct cause-and-effect perspectives that each of these unconventional data sources could reveal about how the world works:</p>
<h3>Quantum Fluctuation Monitoring</h3>
<ul>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> Variations in quantum fluctuations could cause subtle changes in the computational processes of quantum computers.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This could lead to the discovery of new patterns in quantum computing errors, influencing error correction methods and potentially leading to more stable quantum algorithms.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> Quantum fluctuations may affect the decay rates of isotopes used in scientific experiments.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This could change the way we understand radioactive decay and influence the calibration of instruments used in dating archaeological finds, altering historical timelines.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> Quantum fluctuations might influence the entanglement properties in quantum encryption methods.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This might lead to more secure communication networks, affecting the way sensitive data is transmitted and potentially reducing cyber threats.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Dream Interpretation Streams</h3>
<ul style="margin-left: 20px&quot;;">
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> Analysis of dream content could reveal common themes related to daily activities or global events.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This might offer new insights into collective unconscious processing, affecting approaches in media, advertising, and even public policy to align with psychological well-being.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> Recurrent patterns in dreams could correlate with neurological disorders.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This could lead to early detection and treatment of such disorders, transforming mental health care practices.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> Emotional responses in dreams might relate to real-world stressors.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> Understanding this relationship could affect workplace designs and the structuring of work schedules to improve mental health and productivity.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Nano-Scale Fabric Sensors</h3>
<ul style="margin-left: 20px&quot;;">
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> Changes in body temperature and sweat composition detected by nano-sensors in clothing could indicate health fluctuations.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This could allow for preemptive healthcare interventions, shifting the focus from treatment to prevention in medicine.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> Nano-sensors might detect environmental toxins absorbed by clothing.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This could lead to real-time monitoring of pollution levels, influencing environmental regulation and urban planning.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> The data from fabric sensors could provide insights into individual fitness levels and movement patterns.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This could cause a shift in personalized fitness and wellness programs, potentially reducing healthcare costs by promoting healthier lifestyles.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Microbiome Sequencing</h3>
<ul style="margin-left: 20px&quot;;">
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> Fluctuations in the microbiome composition could correlate with dietary changes or the onset of illness.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This might inform individualized nutrition and prompt early intervention in diseases, significantly altering healthcare approaches.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> The presence of certain microbes might be linked to improved cognitive function or mood.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This could lead to probiotic treatments for mental health conditions and enhance performance in educational or professional settings.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> The introduction of novel microbes into an environment could affect local ecosystems.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> AI could predict and manage environmental impact, leading to new strategies in conservation and agriculture.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Affective Computing Data</h3>
<ul style="margin-left: 20px&quot;;">
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> Real-time monitoring of emotional responses to specific events or products could reveal unconscious preferences or aversions.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This might refine marketing strategies and product designs, leading to highly personalized consumer experiences.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> Patterns of emotional response across different demographics could signal societal stress points.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This could influence public policy, aiming to address underlying causes of societal discontent.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> Changes in a population’s emotional state could be an early indicator of mental health trends.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This could shift public health priorities, leading to early interventions and support for mental well-being on a large scale.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Blockchain Analytics</h3>
<ul style="margin-left: 20px&quot;;">
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> Trends in blockchain transactions might reflect shifts in economic stability or consumer confidence.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This could offer early warning signs for economic downturns, leading to preemptive fiscal policies and stability measures.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> Analysis of smart contract interactions could reveal inefficiencies or new patterns in business operations.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This might revolutionize business process management, leading to more streamlined operations across various industries.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Cause:</strong> Patterns of blockchain usage might correlate with technological adoption or literacy in different regions.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><strong>Effect:</strong> This could inform educational initiatives and governmental investment in technology infrastructure.</li>
</ul>
<p>Each of these data sources, when tapped by future AI systems, could reveal layers of complexity in our biological, emotional, and economic landscapes, leading to more nuanced and anticipatory responses in healthcare, public policy, and business strategy.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap "><img decoding="async" width="700" height="395" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-the-coming-ai-data-wars.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: The Coming AI Data Wars" title="The Coming AI Data Wars" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-the-coming-ai-data-wars.jpg 700w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-the-coming-ai-data-wars-480x271.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw" class="wp-image-39632" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-weight: 400;">The changing face of war!</span></p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>The Coming AI Data Wars</h2>
<p>At the intersection of artificial intelligence and global espionage, a revolution simmers that could redefine the paradigm of modern warfare. As nations pivot to embrace the transformative power of next-gen AI systems, the world’s elite spy agencies will find themselves in a covert but fierce competition not just for information but for the raw data that fuels the engine of these emergent technologies.This race for the new oil of the digital era — data — is setting the stage for an arms race unlike any we have witnessed before, where the victor holds the key to a form of warfare that is invisible yet all-pervading.</p>
<p>The data amassed by nations will not merely inform but will be instrumental in teaching AI systems to predict, decide, and act. With such capabilities, these advanced systems promise to deliver strategic advantages that could eclipse the power of conventional forces.This is a race where collecting data is only the precursor; the true contest lies in the mastery of algorithms that can sift through this digital expanse to extract patterns and insights capable of guiding political, economic, and military decisions.</p>
<p>The implications stretch beyond the mere enhancement of existing espionage tactics, gesturing towards a future where autonomous systems could dictate the terms of engagement without a human fingerprint. Cyber operations, disinformation campaigns, and digital surveillance might soon be orchestrated by machines honed by the vast swathes of data harvested across the globe. The traditional spymaster&#8217;s toolkit is being rapidly supplemented, if not replaced, by a digital arsenal that operates at the speed of light and can be as elusive as the data it seeks to control.</p>
<p> This is not just a race for dominance in the shadows; it is a struggle for the future direction of humanity, mediated by the silent war machines of the 21st century. Welcome to the dawn of AI-powered espionage — a new form of warfare where data is the territory, artificial intelligence the weapon, and knowledge of the digital realm the ultimate power.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap "><img decoding="async" width="700" height="395" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-welcome-to-the-dawn-of-ai-powered-espionage.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Welcome to the Dawn of AI-Powered Espionage" title="Welcome to the Dawn of AI-Powered Espionage" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-welcome-to-the-dawn-of-ai-powered-espionage.jpg 700w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-welcome-to-the-dawn-of-ai-powered-espionage-480x271.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw" class="wp-image-39636" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-weight: 400;">The coming fog of our data wars!</span></p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>The arms race for AI-driven data supremacy is not just a contest of collection but also of manipulation and obfuscation. As nations and organizations amass vast quantities of data to feed and refine their AI systems, a parallel need emerges: the need to protect one’s own data from adversarial AI while disrupting the opponents’. This landscape fosters a fertile ground for the rise of sophisticated roles and technologies—cyberfog machines, data distortionists, and AI mirage-makers—dedicated to the art of information warfare.</p>
<h3>Cyberfog Machines:</h3>
<p>In an environment where clarity of data equates to power, creating confusion—or &#8220;fog&#8221;—becomes a strategic imperative. Cyberfog machines would be systems designed to inject volumes of chaff data into the data streams that enemy AI relies upon, thus degrading its ability to make accurate predictions or assessments. Such machines would generate noise and false patterns to confound enemy algorithms, making the task of filtering signals from noise incredibly taxing for AI systems.</p>
<h3>Data Distortionists:</h3>
<p>These would be the digital-era saboteurs, experts in subtly altering data in ways that are hard to detect but have cascading effects on the output of AI models. They could work by introducing biases or shifting data sets just enough to skew AI decisions, leading to misinformed strategies or misjudged situations. Over time, even small distortions could lead to significant strategic miscalculations by an adversary.</p>
<h3>AI Mirage-Makers:</h3>
<p>Just as a mirage distorts perception in the physical world, AI mirage-makers would create illusions in the digital realm. They would craft sophisticated simulations or deepfakes to deceive both AI systems and human analysts, crafting believable yet entirely artificial scenarios. These mirages could misdirect resources, trigger false alerts, or camouflage actual operations under the guise of fiction.</p>
<p>As this arms race intensifies, the demand for such roles and technologies is likely to expand, drawing in a variety of actors. Beyond state-sponsored agencies, private contractors, hackers-for-hire, and even rogue states may enter the fray, each seeking to advance their agendas or sell their services to the highest bidder.</p>
<p>The potential for an ecosystem of offensive and defensive measures surrounding AI data is vast. Defensive countermeasures will also evolve, with AI systems designed to detect and counteract these distortions and deceptions, leading to a continual cat-and-mouse game between data purists and data disruptors. The <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/artificial-intelligence/in-search-of-a-morality-engine-can-ai-and-humanity-truly-coexist/" title="In Search of a Morality Engine: Can AI and Humanity Truly Coexist?">ethical and legal implications</a> of this new form of warfare will be profound, raising questions about accountability, the nature of conflict, and the rules of engagement in a world where seeing should no longer be synonymous with believing.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap "><img decoding="async" width="700" height="395" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-the-data-wars-are-coming.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: The Data Wars Are Coming" title="The Data Wars Are Coming" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-the-data-wars-are-coming.jpg 700w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/futurist-thomas-frey-the-data-wars-are-coming-480x271.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw" class="wp-image-39633" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-weight: 400;">The data wars are coming, and only the super-responsible </span><span style="font-weight: 400;">will learn to transcend the quest for power!</span></p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>Final Thoughts</h2>
<p>As we step into 2024, the breakneck pace of generative AI&#8217;s evolution shows no signs of slowing down. Its capabilities today seem almost magical but will become table stakes in short order. What we have witnessed so far is merely a prelude to this technology&#8217;s disruptive potential across every industry.</p>
<p>The unprecedented scale of investments into generative models and applications already exceeds the research budgets of most nations. This highlights how decisively some tech giants are betting on AI&#8217;s ascendance. Open-source ecosystems and startups are poised to drive equally exciting breakthroughs.</p>
<p>But with such power comes the responsibility to steer its influence prudently. As generative AI infiltrates our creative pursuits, business operations, public discourse and indeed daily lives, maintaining its societal benefit will require deliberate efforts.</p>
<p>Ethical considerations surrounding data sourcing, model transparency, system accountability and misuse prevention warrant urgent attention. Policies, norms and technical safeguards today will shape this technology&#8217;s trajectory for decades hence.</p>
<p>As citizens, we must develop our understanding of generative AI&#8217;s capabilities and limitations, shed our awe of its magic, and hold institutions deploying it accountable. Media literacy, as these synthetic creations blend increasingly seamlessly into our information diet, is crucial.</p>
<p>There are certainly risks to be mitigated proactively. But approached thoughtfully, generative AI can augment human creativity, efficiency and insight in wondrous ways. The extent of its lasting positive impact will come down to collective responsibility and wisdom.</p>
<p>The genie is undoubtedly out of the bottle, and the technology&#8217;s progress is unrelenting. 2024 promises to be a landmark year as generative AI&#8217;s transformation of society comes into fuller view. The actions we take today, as individuals and together, will write the human story of this historic technological flowering. There are causes for concern but also tremendous grounds for hope as we guide these transformative tools toward empowering our future.</p></div>
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<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/artificial-intelligence/the-coming-data-wars/">The Coming Data Wars</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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		<title>Unleashing the Future: Extreme Scenarios of How Smart Contracts Will Alter the Course of History</title>
		<link>https://futuristspeaker.com/future-scenarios/unleashing-the-future-extreme-scenarios-of-how-smart-contracts-will-alter-the-course-of-history/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Thomas Frey]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Jun 2023 11:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Future Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[autonomous vehicle]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-scenarios/unleashing-the-future-extreme-scenarios-of-how-smart-contracts-will-alter-the-course-of-history/">Unleashing the Future: Extreme Scenarios of How Smart Contracts Will Alter the Course of History</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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					<h1 class="entry-title">Unleashing the Future: Extreme Scenarios of How Smart Contracts Will Alter the Course of History</h1>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="1200" height="627" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/futurist-thomas-frey-unleashing-the-future-extreme-scenarios-of-how-smart-contracts-will-alter-the-course-of-history.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Unleashing the Future: Extreme Scenarios of how Smart Contracts will Alter the Course of History" title="Unleashing the Future: Extreme Scenarios of how Smart Contracts will Alter the Course of History" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/futurist-thomas-frey-unleashing-the-future-extreme-scenarios-of-how-smart-contracts-will-alter-the-course-of-history.jpg 1200w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/futurist-thomas-frey-unleashing-the-future-extreme-scenarios-of-how-smart-contracts-will-alter-the-course-of-history-980x512.jpg 980w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/futurist-thomas-frey-unleashing-the-future-extreme-scenarios-of-how-smart-contracts-will-alter-the-course-of-history-480x251.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1200px, 100vw" class="wp-image-39248" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>As we plunge headlong into the twenty-first century, an era hallmarked by rapid technological change, we&#8217;re constantly challenged to reevaluate and reimagine traditional systems. One such system, as integral to our society as it is ripe for disruption, is the contract system. Inherited from our forebears, it remains a slow, labor-intensive, and often opaque process. However, with the advent of blockchain technology, we&#8217;re on the cusp of a significant overhaul: the rise of smart contracts. These <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/smart-contracts.asp" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title="What Are Smart Contracts on the Blockchain and How They Work">digital, self-executing agreements</a> promise not only to streamline and secure transactions but also to revolutionize our industries and society at large.</p>
<p>From real-time tax collection systems to decentralized autonomous vehicles, smart contracts offer a glimpse into a future where trust is algorithmically guaranteed, bureaucracy is slashed, and transactions are seamless. In this column, we explore <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-trends/smart-contracts-are-here-and-getting-smarter/" title="Smart Contracts are Here and They’re Getting Smarter">the potential of smart contracts</a>, delving into a few provocative scenarios where they could be game-changers.</p>
<h2>20 Groundbreaking Applications of Smart Contracts</h2>
<p>As we cast our gaze into the not-so-distant future, a landscape laden with the potential of smart contracts emerges. These self-executing pieces of code, underpinned by the immutable nature of blockchain technology, promise to rewrite the rules of trust, intermediation, and enforcement.</p>
<h3>1. Automated Inheritance and Will Execution:</h3>
<p>In case of an individual&#8217;s death, <a href="https://www.rocketlawyer.com/gb/en/blog/can-you-write-your-will-onto-a-blockchain-smart-contracts/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title="Can you write your will onto a blockchain?">smart contracts could be used to automatically execute wills</a>, distributing assets without needing an executor or a legal process, thereby reducing disputes and legal costs.</p>
<p><strong>EXAMPLE:</strong> Let’s begin with a will execution scenario, where Wilson Charles, a family patriarch, has passed away, leaving behind an extensive portfolio of assets. This includes multiple houses, cars, securities, shares in various companies, and a vacation home in Vail, CO. He has four children, Donnie, Arne, Beth, and Tiffany, eighteen grandchildren, and a lifelong commitment to three charities.</p>
<p>Wilson, being forward-thinking, had put in place a smart contract for the execution of his will. This smart contract, a self-executing contract with the terms of Wilson&#8217;s, will directly be written into code, and is stored on the blockchain. The smart contract was created with the help of a legal expert and a blockchain programmer to ensure the legal validity and proper execution of the contract.</p>
<p>Upon Wilson&#8217;s death, the smart contract is automatically triggered. The contract was designed to confirm Wilson&#8217;s passing through reliable external data sources, such as government death registry APIs which are integrated into the blockchain network. This confirmation starts the execution of the smart contract, which follows the instructions encoded in it.</p>
<p>Firstly, Wilson&#8217;s various assets are distributed to his four children as specified. The smart contract automatically transfers the ownership of the houses and the vacation home in Vail, CO, to Donnie and Arne. The shares in the companies and securities are split among all four children, with the smart contract interacting with the securities registry and the various companies&#8217; shareholder registries to update the ownership.</p>
<p>The cars are divided among the grandchildren, with the smart contract accessing the DMV database to change the registration of each vehicle to its new owner. The smart contract also allocates a specific portion of Wilson&#8217;s estate to each grandchild, directly transferring these funds to their respective digital wallets.</p>
<p>Lastly, Wilson&#8217;s commitments to the three charities he believed in are fulfilled. A specific sum is transferred from Wilson&#8217;s digital wallet to the wallets of these organizations. Since the transaction is recorded on the blockchain, it&#8217;s transparent, and the charities can confirm they received the donations.</p>
<p>As you can see from this scenario, the smart contract has automated the entire process of executing Wilson&#8217;s will, reducing the time, cost, and potential disputes that might have arisen in its absence. The use of blockchain technology ensures transparency, security, and immutable record-keeping, making the process reliable and efficient.</p>
<h3>2. Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAOs):</h3>
<p>Entire organizations could be run on smart contracts, with decision-making processes, revenue distribution, task assignment, and more all codified into immutable contracts. This could eliminate managerial overhead and allow truly decentralized businesses.</p>
<h3>3. Digital Identity Verification:</h3>
<p>Smart contracts could be used for identity verification systems, replacing traditional methods. Upon confirmation of an individual&#8217;s identity, a smart contract could automatically grant access to secure systems, documents, or services.</p>
<h3>4. Automated Supply Chains:</h3>
<p>Smart contracts could track goods from raw materials to finished product, automatically triggering payments and shipping processes once certain conditions are met and providing unprecedented levels of transparency.</p>
<h3>5. Decentralized Energy Grids:</h3>
<p>In a peer-to-peer energy network, smart contracts could automatically buy and sell surplus energy between households, effectively decentralizing the energy grid.</p>
<h3>6. Real-Time Insurance Payouts:</h3>
<p>Insurance claims could be processed in real-time, with smart contracts verifying claim conditions and automatically disbursing payouts, reducing fraud and increasing efficiency.</p>
<h3>7. Smart Property:</h3>
<p>Property, such as homes or vehicles, could be tokenized and controlled via smart contracts. Access could be granted or revoked automatically based on payment, eliminating the need for physical keys.</p>
<h3>8. Decentralized Autonomous Vehicles:</h3>
<p><a href="https://www.ibm.com/blog/blockchain-powered-autonomous-automobiles-can-be-the-answer/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title="Blockchain-powered autonomous automobiles can be the answer">Smart contracts could govern self-driving cars</a>, handling everything from fare payments to insurance, maintenance scheduling, and conflict resolution in case of accidents.</p>
<p><strong>EXAMPLE:</strong> Driverless Rides, a pioneering company in the field of autonomous transportation, operates a fleet of 2,300 self-driving vehicles spread across 13 states, providing services to over 2 million people annually. The operation of these vehicles and the transactions involved are managed by a complex network of smart contracts, making Driverless Rides a truly decentralized autonomous vehicle company.</p>
<p>Each vehicle in the Driverless Rides fleet is not just an autonomous entity in the physical sense but also in the digital world. Every car is essentially a &#8216;node&#8217; in the blockchain network, operating based on a set of rules defined by smart contracts. These smart contracts govern everything from fare calculations and payments to maintenance schedules and accident response protocols.</p>
<p>When a user books a ride through the Driverless Rides app, a smart contract is triggered. The contract interacts with the GPS data of the vehicles and the user, selecting the most appropriate vehicle based on factors like proximity, traffic, and the vehicle&#8217;s current state of charge. Once the vehicle is selected, the ride details are sent to the user and the car.</p>
<p>The fare for the journey is pre-determined by the smart contract, using real-time data like distance, current demand, and local regulations. The user pays the fare in a digital currency, and the payment is held in escrow by the smart contract until the journey is completed.</p>
<p>During the journey, the vehicle&#8217;s sensors continuously feed data into the smart contract. This data includes information about the vehicle&#8217;s speed, route compliance, and any unexpected incidents. If the vehicle is involved in an accident, the smart contract automatically triggers the insurance claim process, using the sensor data as an irrefutable record of the incident.</p>
<p>After the ride is completed, the smart contract releases the payment to Driverless Rides, records the transaction on the blockchain, and updates the vehicle&#8217;s availability status. It also schedules any required maintenance based on the vehicle&#8217;s usage data.</p>
<p>In the case of Driverless Rides, smart contracts essentially act as the company&#8217;s decentralized management system. They ensure efficient and reliable operations, reduce the need for intermediaries, and provide an enhanced level of transparency and security for both the company and the users. This decentralized model of operation represents a paradigm shift in the transportation industry brought about by the convergence of autonomous vehicles and blockchain technology.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap "><img decoding="async" width="700" height="350" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/futurist-thomas-frey-20-groundbreaking-applications-of-smart-contracts.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: 20 Groundbreaking Applications of Smart Contracts
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h3>9. Personal Data Marketplaces:</h3>
<p>Individuals could sell access to their personal data via smart contracts, with terms and conditions, such as the type of data and the duration of access, being enforced automatically.</p>
<h3>10. Automated Clinical Trials:</h3>
<p>In pharmaceutical research, smart contracts could manage patient consent, automatically collect and anonymize data, ensure compliance with trial protocols, and even distribute compensation, all while maintaining the privacy and security of patient data.</p>
<h3>11. Automated Intellectual Property Rights Management:</h3>
<p>Smart contracts can manage the sale, distribution, and usage of creative works, automatically ensuring creators receive their due royalties.</p>
<h3>12. Decentralized Voting Systems:</h3>
<p>Smart contracts could enable secure, transparent voting systems that automatically tally votes and prevent fraud, making elections more democratic and accessible.</p>
<p><strong>EXAMPLE:</strong> Landis Marketing, a leading sports marketing agency, has taken an innovative approach to deciding the host city for the inaugural Pickle Ball Pickle Bowl Tournament. Rather than having the decision made by a select few in boardrooms, they have decided to democratize the process by conducting a global election. After a vigorous campaign, eight cities across the globe have thrown their hat into the ring, and it&#8217;s now up to the people of the world to choose the host city.</p>
<p>To ensure a fair, secure, and transparent election process, Landis Marketing has decided to leverage blockchain technology and use decentralized voting systems. The use of smart contracts in this scenario is set to revolutionize public voting, making it more inclusive, efficient, and trustworthy.</p>
<p>The process begins with voter registration. Individuals worldwide who wish to participate in the voting process must register their details on the decentralized voting platform developed by Landis Marketing. Once registered, each voter will receive a unique digital ID linked to their blockchain wallet.</p>
<p>As the voting period commences, each registered voter will receive a voting token in their blockchain wallet. This token is unique and non-transferable, ensuring one person, one vote. Voters can then cast their vote by sending their token to the blockchain address corresponding to their chosen city.</p>
<p>The use of smart contracts in this process ensures a high level of transparency and security. Once a vote is cast, it gets recorded on the blockchain, making it tamper-proof and auditable. The smart contract also automatically verifies each vote, checking it against the list of registered voters to ensure validity.</p>
<p>Throughout the voting period, the tally of votes remains visible to everyone, but the connection between voters and their votes is anonymous, maintaining voter privacy. The decentralization aspect of the process also ensures that no single entity has control over the voting data, preventing any potential manipulation.</p>
<p>Once the voting period ends, the smart contract automatically tallies the votes and announces the winning city. This instantaneous result calculation eliminates any waiting period or room for human error.</p>
<p>Through this innovative use of decentralized voting systems, Landis Marketing ensures a fair and transparent selection process for the Pickle Ball Pickle Bowl Tournament host city and positions itself as a pioneer in leveraging emerging technologies for democratized decision-making.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap "><img decoding="async" width="700" height="657" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/futurist-thomas-frey-smart-contract-benefits.jpeg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Smart Contract Benefits" title="Smart Contract Benefits" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/futurist-thomas-frey-smart-contract-benefits.jpeg 700w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/futurist-thomas-frey-smart-contract-benefits-480x451.jpeg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw" class="wp-image-39247" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h3>13. Automated Student Records and Certificates:</h3>
Smart contracts can validate and store student records, automatically issuing certificates once certain criteria are met, reducing administrative burdens and fraud.
<h3>14. Decentralized Job Markets:</h3>
Smart contracts could enable a decentralized job market where tasks are automatically assigned to qualified individuals who meet specific criteria, and payment is released upon task completion.
<h3>15. Sustainable Development Verification:</h3>
Smart contracts can automatically verify that companies meet certain sustainability criteria, enabling transparent, decentralized sustainability certification systems.
<h3>16. Trustless Online Gambling:</h3>
Online gambling could be entirely governed by smart contracts, ensuring fair games and automatic payout of winnings, eliminating the need for a trusted third party.

<strong>EXAMPLE:</strong> Polychain Casinos, an innovative digital gaming company, has decided to disrupt the global online gambling industry by launching a trustless online gambling platform entirely powered by blockchain technology and smart contracts. This move aims to solve some of the most common challenges in the industry &#8211; including lack of transparency, trust issues, and delays in payout.

First, every player interested in participating in Polychain&#8217;s online gambling platform must create a digital wallet that securely stores their cryptocurrency. This wallet acts as their unique identity on the platform and ensures the security of their funds.

Once the wallet is set up, players can deposit funds into it, which are converted into Polychain&#8217;s unique gambling tokens. It&#8217;s important to note that Polychain&#8217;s platform is cryptocurrency-based, removing the need for traditional banking intermediaries and their associated delays and fees.

The games on Polychain&#8217;s platform, whether they are card games, slots, or roulette, are powered by smart contracts. Each game is essentially a self-executing contract with the rules of the game, the payouts, and the odds coded into it. When a player places a bet, they are essentially interacting with the smart contract.

The result of each game is determined by a random number generator built on blockchain technology, ensuring complete transparency and fairness. Once the game is over, the smart contract automatically executes the payment based on the game&#8217;s outcome. The winnings are instantly transferred to their digital wallet if the player wins. If the player loses, the bet amount is automatically assigned to Polychain.

One of the most significant advantages of this approach is that it&#8217;s trustless, meaning players don&#8217;t have to trust the casino to be fair or to pay out their winnings. Everything is governed by code, and the blockchain&#8217;s transparency means that anyone can verify the games&#8217; fairness and the payouts&#8217; integrity.

By launching this trustless online gambling platform, Polychain Casinos has not only removed the need for players to trust them but also significantly increased the speed and efficiency of payouts. This innovative approach could well be the future of online gambling, opening up the industry to a new wave of players who value transparency, fairness, and efficiency.</div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap "><img decoding="async" width="700" height="350" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/futurist-thomas-frey-personal-data-marketplaces.jpeg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Personal Data Marketplaces" title="Personal Data Marketplaces" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/futurist-thomas-frey-personal-data-marketplaces.jpeg 700w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/futurist-thomas-frey-personal-data-marketplaces-480x240.jpeg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw" class="wp-image-39246" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h3>17. Automated Charity Donations:</h3>
<p>Donations could be released to a charity only when specific, verifiable conditions are met, ensuring that funds are used as intended.</p>
<h3>18. Decentralized Content Reward Systems:</h3>
<p>Content creators could be rewarded automatically and transparently based on engagement metrics, ensuring fair compensation.</p>
<h3>19. Transparent Public Budget Management:</h3>
<p>Governments could use smart contracts to manage public budgets, automatically distributing funds when certain conditions are met, improving transparency and reducing corruption.</p>
<h3>20. Real-Time Tax Collection:</h3>
<p>Governments could use smart contracts to automatically collect taxes at the moment of a transaction, reducing tax evasion and increasing efficiency.</p>
<p><strong>EXAMPLE:</strong> In response to the increasing complexity of the traditional tax system, the government has decided to implement a groundbreaking solution: a real-time tax collection system leveraging blockchain technology and smart contracts. This system, known as &#8220;Transparent Transaction Taxation&#8221; (TTT), aims to make the taxation process virtually invisible and painless for taxpayers, all while ensuring the fair implementation of taxes.</p>
<p>The TTT system assigns a unique digital identity to each individual and corporation. These digital identities are linked to their financial transactions and securely stored on a blockchain network, providing transparency and maintaining the integrity and privacy of data.</p>
<p>The novel aspect of this system is the shift from income tax to transaction tax. Rather than manually filing income tax returns annually, the TTT system automatically calculates and collects a small tax on each financial transaction in real-time, making the process mostly invisible and painless.</p>
<p>A smart contract is activated every time a financial transaction occurs, be it a paycheck deposit, a stock trade, a property sale, or a business transaction. This smart contract &#8211; a self-executing contract with the agreement terms directly written into the code &#8211; automatically computes the transaction tax based on the pre-set tax rules and regulations.</p>
<p>The calculated tax is immediately deducted from the transaction amount and transferred to the government&#8217;s account, making the process seamless and efficient. This approach reduces the administrative burden for taxpayers and provides the government with a steady, real-time stream of revenue.</p>
<p>In this system, the tax burden is fairly distributed across all transactions, mitigating the common criticisms of income tax systems, such as the perceived unfairness in tax rates between different income brackets. It also significantly reduces the possibility of tax evasion, as every transaction is automatically recorded and taxed.</p>
<p>Moreover, the TTT system provides taxpayers a user-friendly dashboard linked to their digital identity. This enables them to easily track their tax payments and understand their financial obligations, promoting transparency and better financial management.</p>
<p>With the implementation of the TTT system, the government effectively eliminates the traditional, time-consuming, and often intrusive process of income tax filing. Instead, it offers a more streamlined, efficient, and equitable approach to taxation, harnessing the power of emerging technologies to revolutionize a crucial societal process. This innovation in taxation could potentially become the norm in the future, setting a new standard for tax systems worldwide.</p>
<h2>Final Thoughts</h2>
<p>As we&#8217;ve illustrated with these examples, smart contracts have the potential to usher in a new era of efficiency, transparency, and trust. Whether it&#8217;s through automating will execution or managing an entire fleet of autonomous vehicles, the possibilities seem boundless. As with any disruptive technology, there are undoubtedly challenges and potential pitfalls that we must navigate carefully. However, the <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-trends/smart-contracts-are-here-and-getting-smarter/" title="Smart Contracts are Here and They’re Getting Smarter">benefits of smart contracts</a> are compelling enough that they are undeniably, part of our future.</p>
<p>We stand on the precipice of a new paradigm, one where smart contracts can and will reshape the fabric of our digital society. The transition won&#8217;t be overnight, and it won&#8217;t be without its hurdles. But as we stare into the promise of this technologically augmented future, one thing is clear: the potential of smart contracts goes far beyond a mere upgrade of our current systems. They can rewrite the rulebook, shifting how we interact, transact, and trust.</p>
<p>The future is brimming with promise. As we unravel it thread by thread, our society will inevitably find new ways to adapt, evolve, and thrive. And in this dynamic tapestry, smart contracts are set to be a defining weave.</p></div>
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<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-scenarios/unleashing-the-future-extreme-scenarios-of-how-smart-contracts-will-alter-the-course-of-history/">Unleashing the Future: Extreme Scenarios of How Smart Contracts Will Alter the Course of History</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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		<title>The Rise of AI: Eight Scenarios for Living in an AI-Dominated Future</title>
		<link>https://futuristspeaker.com/future-scenarios/the-rise-of-ai-eight-scenarios-for-living-in-an-ai-dominated-future/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Thomas Frey]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Apr 2023 11:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Future Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[autonomous vehicle]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://futuristspeaker.com/?p=39165</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-scenarios/the-rise-of-ai-eight-scenarios-for-living-in-an-ai-dominated-future/">The Rise of AI: Eight Scenarios for Living in an AI-Dominated Future</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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					<h1 class="entry-title">The Rise of AI: Eight Scenarios for Living in an AI-Dominated Future</h1>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="1200" height="803" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/futurist-thomas-frey-the-rise-of-ai-eight-scenarios-for-living-in-an-ai-dominated-future.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: The Rise of AI: Eight Scenarios for Living in an AI-Dominated Future" title="The Rise of AI: Eight Scenarios for Living in an AI-Dominated Future" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/futurist-thomas-frey-the-rise-of-ai-eight-scenarios-for-living-in-an-ai-dominated-future.jpg 1200w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/futurist-thomas-frey-the-rise-of-ai-eight-scenarios-for-living-in-an-ai-dominated-future-980x656.jpg 980w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/futurist-thomas-frey-the-rise-of-ai-eight-scenarios-for-living-in-an-ai-dominated-future-480x321.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1200px, 100vw" class="wp-image-39168" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>The future is here, and it&#8217;s filled with advanced technologies that are revolutionizing every aspect of our lives. From shopping and dating to education and travel, the possibilities are endless. But what does this mean for how we live, work, and play? Let&#8217;s take a closer look at some scenarios to see how AI and other technologies will shape our future.</p>
<h2>Scenario 1 – Fred and Jessica Applying for a Home Mortgage in 2040</h2>
<p>In 2040, Fred and Jessica were <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-banking/reinventing-the-banking-industry-how-financial-institutions/" title="Reinventing the Banking Industry: How Financial Institutions Must Evolve to Survive the Digital Revolution">exploring the possibilities of applying for a home mortgage using both crypto and traditional currencies</a>. They had been researching the benefits of using cryptocurrencies for mortgage payments and were excited to explore the options available to them.</p>
<p>Using advanced digital tools, Fred and Jessica were able to compare mortgage rates and terms offered by lenders that accepted crypto payments, as well as traditional lenders that only accepted fiat currencies.</p>
<p>They found that some crypto-friendly lenders offered lower interest rates and more flexible repayment schedules than traditional lenders while also allowing them to make payments in popular cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin.</p>
<p>After exploring their options, Fred and Jessica decided to apply for a mortgage using both crypto and traditional currencies. They submitted their application online and were pleased to find that the process was fast and efficient, thanks to the use of advanced digital tools and AI-powered assistants.</p>
<p>Their application was quickly approved, and they received a personalized mortgage offer that allowed them to make payments using either crypto or traditional currencies. They were able to review the terms and conditions of the offer, as well as the interest rate and repayment schedule, before accepting the mortgage.</p>
<h2>Scenario 2 – Sarah Going Grocery Shopping in 2040</h2>
<p>As Sarah walked into the grocery store, she was greeted by a friendly robot that offered to assist her with her shopping needs.</p>
<p>Sarah used her smartphone to scan a QR code on the robot, which immediately recognized her and provided her with a personalized shopping list based on her previous purchases, dietary restrictions, and preferences. The robot then handed her a sleek and modern shopping cart equipped with advanced sensors, cameras, and AI algorithms.</p>
<p>As Sarah made her way through the store, <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/19/albertsons-deploys-smart-grocery-carts-from-veeve-ex-amazon-engineers.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title="TECH Ex-Amazon engineers roll out their smart shopping carts in Albertsons stores">the shopping cart followed her around autonomously</a>, offering personalized recommendations for complementary products based on her preferences. The cart also used its sensors to detect the items that Sarah placed in it, ensuring that she didn&#8217;t forget anything on her list.</p>
<p>When Sarah was finished with her shopping, she simply walked through a no-touch facial recognition payment system, which identified her and charged her account automatically. The shopping cart then autonomously returned to its charging station, ready to assist the next customer.</p>
<h2>Scenario 3 – Sam and Tiffany Speed Dating in an Autonomous Vehicle in 2040</h2>
<p>Sam and Tiffany had signed up for a speed-dating event and were picked up by a sleek and modern autonomous vehicle that had been specially designed for the occasion.</p>
<p>As they settled into the comfortable and futuristic interior of the vehicle, the AI-powered virtual assistant greeted them and explained the rules and format of the speed-dating event. The vehicle then started to drive them to their first date location, a trendy restaurant reserved exclusively for the event.</p>
<p>As they arrived at the restaurant, the autonomous vehicle parked itself, and the virtual assistant provided them with a brief overview of their first date. They had a great time getting to know each other over a delicious meal, and when it was time to move on to the next location, the autonomous vehicle drove them to their next destination.</p>
<p>Over the course of the evening, Sam and Tiffany were introduced to several potential matches, and they found themselves enjoying the unique and futuristic speed-dating experience. The autonomous vehicle provided them with a safe and comfortable environment in which to get to know each other, and the AI-powered virtual assistant ensured that the event ran smoothly and efficiently.</p>
<p>As the evening came to a close, the autonomous vehicle drove Sam and Tiffany back to their respective homes, and the virtual assistant asked them for feedback on their speed-dating experience. Sam and Tiffany agreed that the autonomous vehicle provided a unique and enjoyable setting for the event, and they both felt optimistic about the potential for a future relationship.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap "><img decoding="async" width="700" height="467" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/futurist-thomas-frey-launching-an-entertainment-business-in-2040.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Launching an Entertainment Business in 2040" title="Launching an Entertainment Business in 2040" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/futurist-thomas-frey-launching-an-entertainment-business-in-2040.jpg 700w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/futurist-thomas-frey-launching-an-entertainment-business-in-2040-480x320.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw" class="wp-image-39167" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>Scenario 4 – William and Bobbi Lynn Launching an Entertainment Business in 2040</h2>
<p>In 2040, William and Bobbi Lynn decided to launch an entertainment business that leveraged the latest AI and VR technologies. They wanted to create a unique and immersive experience that would transport people to new and exciting worlds, and they had spent months planning and preparing for their business launch.</p>
<p>Their business, called &#8220;Virtual Worlds&#8221;, allowed customers to enter immersive VR experiences that were powered by advanced AI algorithms. These experiences ranged from adventurous and action-packed to serene and calming, providing something for everyone.</p>
<p>As William and Bobbi Lynn launched their business, they quickly found that there was a strong demand for their unique and innovative product. People were eager to escape into new and exciting worlds, and Virtual Worlds provided a safe and immersive environment in which to do so.</p>
<p>The business quickly grew in popularity, and William and Bobbi Lynn constantly innovated and improved their product. They invested in the latest AI and VR technologies, ensuring that their experiences remained cutting-edge and advanced.</p>
<p>As their business grew, William and Bobbi Lynn hired a team of skilled AI and VR experts who helped them create even more immersive and exciting experiences. They were constantly pushing the boundaries of what was possible with technology and became known as entertainment industry leaders.</p>
<p>In 2040, William and Bobbi Lynn&#8217;s Virtual Worlds became one of the most popular and successful entertainment businesses in the world, with a loyal following of customers who couldn&#8217;t get enough of their unique and immersive experiences.</p>
<h2>Scenario 5 – Going to School for 10-Year-Old Ella in 2040</h2>
<p>In 2040, going to school had become a truly futuristic experience, and for 10-year-old Ella, it was an exciting and enjoyable part of her daily routine. Ella&#8217;s day started when she woke up in her smart bed, which was equipped with sensors that tracked her sleep patterns and adjusted the temperature and lighting to optimize her sleep.</p>
<p>As she got ready for school, Ella used her smart mirror to get personalized recommendations for her outfit and makeup based on the weather, her schedule, and her personal preferences. She then walked to her autonomous school bus, which picked her up at her doorstep and drove her to school while she relaxed in the comfortable and futuristic interior.</p>
<p>When Ella arrived at school, she was greeted by friendly AI-powered robots that helped her find her way to her classroom and provided her with personalized recommendations for her daily schedule. Ella&#8217;s classroom was equipped with advanced AI algorithms that could personalize her learning experience based on her individual learning style and pace.</p>
<p>Throughout the day, Ella used <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-education/the-future-of-education-is-beginning-to-take-shape/" title="The Future of Education is beginning to take Shape">advanced digital tools to enhance her learning experience</a>, from VR simulations that allowed her to explore different parts of the world to interactive learning games that made learning fun and engaging. She also had access to advanced robotics and AI courses that allowed her to learn about cutting-edge technologies and prepare for the future of work.</p>
<p>When the school day was over, Ella&#8217;s autonomous school bus picked her up and drove her back home, where she could continue learning and exploring the world with the help of advanced digital tools and AI-powered assistants. For Ella, going to school in 2040 was fun and engaging and offered endless opportunities for personal growth and development.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap "><img decoding="async" width="700" height="324" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/futurist-thomas-frey-checking-into-a-hotel-in-2040.jpeg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Checking into a Hotel in 2040" title="Checking into a Hotel in 2040" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/futurist-thomas-frey-checking-into-a-hotel-in-2040.jpeg 700w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/futurist-thomas-frey-checking-into-a-hotel-in-2040-480x222.jpeg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw" class="wp-image-39166" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>Scenario 6 – John Checking into a Hotel in 2040</h2>
<p>As John walked up to the sleek and modern building, he was greeted by a friendly robot concierge that welcomed him and checked him in using facial recognition technology.</p>
<p>The <a href="https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2023/02/19/how-artificial-intelligence-alter-your-hotel-experience/11271290002/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title="What if the concierge is a robot? How artificial intelligence will change your hotel stay.">robot concierge</a> provided John with a personalized digital key to his room, which would grant him access to his room and other areas of the hotel. As John made his way to the elevator, he was amazed by the advanced technology that surrounded him &#8211; from the digital displays that showed him personalized recommendations for local restaurants and attractions to the smart lighting and climate control systems that adjusted automatically to his preferences.</p>
<p>When John arrived at his room, he was greeted by an AI-powered virtual assistant that recognized him by name and asked him how his day was going. The virtual assistant provided John with a personalized tour of the room, showing him how to use the various smart devices and appliances that were controlled by voice commands or his smartphone.</p>
<p>Throughout his stay, John was impressed by the level of service and attention to detail provided by the hotel&#8217;s AI-powered systems. From personalized recommendations for local activities and restaurants to intelligent room service that could predict his food preferences and dietary restrictions, the AI hotel exceeded his expectations in every way.</p>
<h2>Scenario 7 &#8211; Linda Working as an Architect in 2040</h2>
<p>In 2040, Linda became an architect who leveraged advanced AI and VR technologies to create stunning and innovative designs. She used advanced computer programs that could simulate the physics and materials of her designs, allowing her to create accurate and realistic models before beginning construction.</p>
<p>Linda also used advanced VR tools that allowed her to create immersive 3D models of her designs, which her clients could explore and experience before any physical construction began. This helped her clients to visualize better and understand her designs, making the design process more collaborative and efficient.</p>
<p>Linda also leveraged advanced AI algorithms that could analyze the surrounding environment and optimize her designs for factors such as energy efficiency, sustainability, and accessibility. This allowed her to create designs that looked beautiful, functional, and environmentally friendly.</p>
<p>As Linda worked on her designs, she collaborated with a team of skilled AI and VR experts, who helped her to bring her visions to life. She constantly pushed the boundaries of what was possible with technology, and she became known as an architectural industry leader.<br />With the help of advanced AI and VR technologies, Linda had created some of the most stunning and innovative buildings and structures in the world.</p>
<h2>Scenario 8 – David going through an Airport to Catch his Flight in 2040</h2>
<p>In 2040, going through an airport had become a completely different experience with the help of advanced technology. David arrived at the airport and checked in his luggage with the help of an AI-powered robot that could scan and verify his identity using advanced facial recognition algorithms.</p>
<p>As he made his way through security, David used his <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/futurist-thomas-frey-insights/creating-the-every-human-database-and-the-god-globe/" title="Creating the Every-Human Database and the God Globe">biometric data</a> to quickly pass through the checkpoints without the need for traditional security checks. The security system used advanced AI algorithms to detect any potential threats or risks, making the security process much more efficient and effective.</p>
<p>After passing through security, David walked through a duty-free store that was equipped with advanced augmented reality displays, providing him with personalized recommendations and offers based on his preferences and purchase history.</p>
<p>David then made his way to his gate, where he boarded a futuristic airplane that was equipped with advanced AI-powered systems. The airplane could adjust its altitude and speed to optimize its fuel consumption, making the flight more environmentally friendly and cost-effective.</p>
<p>During the flight, David used advanced in-flight entertainment systems that offered personalized recommendations based on his preferences, providing him with a truly immersive and enjoyable experience.</p>
<p>When the airplane landed, David used his biometric data to quickly pass through the customs and immigration checkpoints without the need for long queues or manual checks.</p>
<h2>Closing Thoughts</h2>
<p>The future is a fascinating and sometimes scary place, but it&#8217;s also full of possibilities and opportunities. The scenarios we explored today are just the tip of the iceberg; we can only imagine what else the future has in store for us. As we continue to push the boundaries of technology, we must also remember to approach these innovations with caution and mindfulness, always keeping in mind the potential risks and dangers. By doing so, we can ensure that the future is not only exciting but also safe and sustainable for generations to come.</p></div>
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<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-scenarios/the-rise-of-ai-eight-scenarios-for-living-in-an-ai-dominated-future/">The Rise of AI: Eight Scenarios for Living in an AI-Dominated Future</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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		<title>Nine Ways Autonomous Transportation will Impact Real Estate</title>
		<link>https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/nine-ways-autonomous-transportation-will-impact-real-estate/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Thomas Frey]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Apr 2022 05:45:57 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Future of Transportation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[autonomous vehicle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future of transportation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[real estate]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://futuristspeaker.com/?p=38229</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/nine-ways-autonomous-transportation-will-impact-real-estate/">Nine Ways Autonomous Transportation will Impact Real Estate</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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					<h1 class="entry-title">Nine Ways Autonomous Transportation will Impact Real Estate</h1>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="1200" height="675" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/futurist-thomas-frey-nine-ways-autonomous-transportation-will-impact-real-estate.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Nine Ways Autonomous Transportation Will Impact Real Estate" title="Nine Ways Autonomous Transportation Will Impact Real Estate" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/futurist-thomas-frey-nine-ways-autonomous-transportation-will-impact-real-estate.jpg 1200w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/futurist-thomas-frey-nine-ways-autonomous-transportation-will-impact-real-estate-980x551.jpg 980w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/futurist-thomas-frey-nine-ways-autonomous-transportation-will-impact-real-estate-480x270.jpg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1200px, 100vw" class="wp-image-38253" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>It won’t be long until we see major breakthroughs in the number of autonomous vehicles (AVs) on our roadways – both for on-demand passenger travel as well as for product delivery. <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2022/3/1/22956335/waymo-robotaxi-rides-paid-san-francisco-cpuc" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title="Waymo to start charging money for its robotaxi rides in San Francisco">AV technology is improving quickly</a>, and it appears that the bigger inhibitor to more widespread use is the uncomfortable, vulnerable feeling of being driven by a pilotless machine.</p>
<p>Fortunately, AV safety evaluations seem to be held to a standard of zero incidents and accidents when the alternative for human-operated vehicles “allows” for thousands of accidents and fatalities due to human error, distraction, impairment, and more. In fact, <a href="https://www.nhtsa.gov/technology-innovation/automated-vehicles-safety" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title="Automated Vehicles for Safety">94% of serious vehicle crashes are caused by human error</a>.</p>
<p>I haven’t seen the final numbers yet for 2021, but <a href="https://www.consumeraffairs.com/news/traffic-fatalities-increase-in-2021-despite-consumers-driving-fewer-miles-032522.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title="Traffic fatalities increase in 2021 despite consumers driving fewer miles">traffic fatalities were on track last year to exceed 40,000 in the U.S.</a>, which would be the highest level in many years. We’re moving in the wrong direction on that front.</p>
<p>But yet, when there’s an autonomous vehicle-related accident or even an unfortunate fatality, suddenly <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/28-reasons-why-driverless-tech-will-be-the-most-disruptive-technology-in-all-history/" title="28 Reasons why driverless tech will be the most disruptive technology in all history">AV technology is once again suspect in the eyes of regulators, the media, and the public</a>. Far more often than not, accidents involving AVs are not the vehicle&#8217;s fault.</p>
<p>Keep in mind, that air travel is still the safest form of transportation.</p>
<p>Eventually, though, we’ll all become far more confident in these vehicles, just as we did with the airlines, and move past that unreasonable threshold of perfect AV safety in all circumstances. We’ll embrace this opportunity for a significant improvement in road safety overall, and as more AVs fill our roadways, society’s focus on car ownership will shift even further to an AV-enhanced, shared car lifestyle.</p>
<p>When we reach that tipping point in the U.S., there will be far-ranging changes in many areas of our lives, including one area few people have given much thought to &#8211; the real estate industry.</p>
<h2>Nine Forms of Impact</h2>
<p>Here are a few thoughts on how autonomous transportation will impact the residential and commercial real estate industry in the future. Undoubtedly there will be more in the future.</p>
<h3>1. Property Values Adjacent to Roads</h3>
<p>Currently, residential property values plummet as the location gets closer and closer to major roads and especially interstates. The roar of trucks and gas guzzlers is too much for most people to live with or alongside. But AVs are electric, and electric is quiet. As <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/predictions/25-shocking-predictions-about-the-coming-driverless-car-era-in-the-u-s/" title="25 Shocking Predictions about the Coming Driverless Car Era in the U.S.">gas and diesel-powered vehicles dwindle</a>, more people will be fine with living closer to highways. Developers will recognize the opportunity and build far more communities in the current high noise zones adjacent to highways.</p>
<h3>2. Garage-less Homes</h3>
<p>As people shift to an AV car-sharing lifestyle, they’ll have less need for garages. Some people will turn their garages into spare bedrooms, offices, Airbnb rentals, workshops, or massive storage spaces. New homes won’t be designed around garages, as so many are today – and street views of homes will be all the better for it! In fact, new home footprints will be smaller, and most houses will fit comfortably on smaller plots.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="700" height="394" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/futurist-thomas-frey-nine-areas-of-impact-for-residential-and-commercial-property-sales.jpeg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Nine Areas Of Impact For Residential and Commercial Property Sales" title="Nine Areas Of Impact For Residential and Commercial Property Sales" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/futurist-thomas-frey-nine-areas-of-impact-for-residential-and-commercial-property-sales.jpeg 700w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/futurist-thomas-frey-nine-areas-of-impact-for-residential-and-commercial-property-sales-480x270.jpeg 480w" sizes="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw" class="wp-image-38254" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h3>3. Portico Circular Driveways</h3>
<p>While we won’t need garages, we will need driveways – most likely a functional circular driveway with the front door at the midpoint under a weather-shielding portico. Home properties will be landscaped in this way so that shared AVs can proceed to the doorway, load and unload passengers, and then continue to the street.</p>
<h3>4. Standardized Delivery Boxes</h3>
<p>This small but important home feature will accommodate and secure the increasing number of deliveries we receive and the many more that will be delivered soon by AV-delivery vehicles. A number of key retailers will collaborate to develop a standardized delivery box, similar to a mailbox but larger, to accommodate a variety of autonomous delivery service providers so they can securely deposit packages and other items at the home. Existing homes will be retrofitted with this feature, and it will be standard in all new homes. Some new homes may even be designed with a delivery dock or a one-way delivery door into the house.</p>
<h3>5. Reduced Emphasis on Proximity</h3>
<p>Since automated, shared driving and delivery from point A to point B will involve far less human involvement, home buyers will think less about “Location, Location, Location” and more about “Time, Time, Time.” Consideration about distances to shops and amenities will be overtaken by how we utilize our time along the way. Autonomous vehicles with built-in games and other forms of entertainment will be in huge demand to distract us from the time and distance we’re traveling.</p>
<h3>6. Parking Lots will Disappear</h3>
<p>Some of the space currently reserved for parking will be used as a staging area for shared AVs. Space devoted to massive surface parking areas and standalone parking garages will be put to better use for parks and new developments. New urban office buildings will need only one level for personal and shared AVs rather than the multi-level parking garages we see today.</p>
<h3>7. Car Sales and Maintenance Moves to B2B</h3>
<p>Currently, over 10% of retail space is dedicated to the auto industry – from showrooms and brake shops to car washes and gas stations. But as AV fleet ownership consolidates, there will be fewer and fewer customer-facing car businesses. <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/predictions/25-shocking-predictions-about-the-coming-driverless-car-era-in-the-u-s/" title="25 Shocking Predictions about the Coming Driverless Car Era in the U.S.">Fleet owners will purchase their autonomous vehicles in bulk</a>, directly from manufacturers and there will be little need for the multitude of new and used car lots we see today. Similarly, auto repair will shift from consumer-focused to in-house maintenance shops by fleet-owning companies. This all means that a lot of valuable land will be available to repurpose for commercial/residential development, entertainment, and recreation.</p>
<h3>8. Redesign of Entry-Exit for Public Spaces</h3>
<p>Similar to how new home landscaping will accommodate circular driveways, the street-facing layout of public buildings will be designed to resemble a hotel-like, off-street, drive-up/drop-off configuration. Automated systems will manage the flow of AVs coming and going from all high traffic arrival-departure areas.</p>
<h3>9. City Expansion</h3>
<p>As more people move into cities, cities themself will begin to grow their footprint exponentially, as people pay less and less attention to proximity to goods, culture, and services. Since AVs reduce human involvement and traffic congestion, people will feel liberated to venture further from core city centers to the wide-open spaces of suburbia and beyond.</p>
<p>However, as I mentioned earlier, travel time and how engaged we are along the way, not distance, will be our primary concern when choosing a location. The shared AV option will be affected by the time it takes to free up an AV to travel to the rider’s destination and bring them back again. Since it’s currently more challenging to get a Lyft or Uber ride in the suburbs than in the central city, it will be interesting to see how autonomous vehicles change our urban vs. rural perceptions.</p>
<p>We should remember, too, that shared AVs will not be our only source of transportation. Mass transit AV buses and subways will still be an important element and option. However, these networks will become far less convenient and less cost-differentiated over time and may disappear altogether.</p>
<p>Shared AV-based transportation will be a boon to our cities and society overall. They will not only increase safety but also reduce congestion thanks to improved, sensor-enhanced traffic flow. And maybe just as important, but less obvious, our new lifestyles shaped around convenient shared AV access will allow us to make far better use of valuable land in our cities and suburbs.</p></div>
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<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/nine-ways-autonomous-transportation-will-impact-real-estate/">Nine Ways Autonomous Transportation will Impact Real Estate</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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		<title>Is this the end of the shopping mall?</title>
		<link>https://futuristspeaker.com/business-trends/is-this-the-end-of-the-shopping-mall/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Thomas Frey]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Jul 2020 20:36:38 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Business Trends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[autonomous vehicle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future of business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mobile mall]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://futuristspeaker.flywheelsites.com/?p=31326</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/business-trends/is-this-the-end-of-the-shopping-mall/">Is this the end of the shopping mall?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><div class="et_pb_section et_pb_section_21 et_pb_with_background et_pb_fullwidth_section et_section_regular" >
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
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					<h1 class="entry-title">Is this the end of the shopping mall?</h1>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><div id="attachment_31389" style="width: 410px" class="wp-caption alignright"><img decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-31389" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-is-this-the-end-of-the-shopping-mall-due-to-covid-impact.jpg" width="400" height="250" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Is This The End Of The Shopping Mall" title="Is This The End Of The Shopping Mall? Or are there new trends in the works?" class="wp-image-31389 size-full" /><p id="caption-attachment-31389" class="wp-caption-text">Has the coronavirus sounded the closing bell for shopping malls?</p></div></p>
<p>Huge shopping markets like the Grand Bazaar in Istanbul were around as early as 1455. Some of the Middle Eastern Souks have been in existence even longer.</p>
<h2>A Slice of Americana</h2>
<p>By comparison, we in North American are relative newcomers to the shopping mall concept. Our malls started popping up in the suburbs in the late 1950s, most of them seemingly with a similar design and shopper experience formula: Build anchor stores, maybe make one of them a movie theater, connect them with rows of specialty shops, and drop a fast-food court somewhere in the middle.</p>
<p>Malls quickly evolved into an important anchor in our communities, a social gathering place for young people, filled with the latest fashions, entertainment, and friends. They were “cool” destinations for teens to hang out and pretend they were older than they were, and maybe even a starting point for work with a minimum wage job.</p>
<p>Ah yes, I remember those days well!</p>
<h2>When Competition Began</h2>
<p>Retail is a tricky business. The first shot across the bow came from standalone, big-box stores and discount mass merchandisers.</p>
<p>1962 was a big year for retail in the U.S. with the launch of the very first K-Mart, Walmart, and Target stores. While their focus was primarily on competing with the likes of Sears, Macy’s, JCPenny, and Montgomery Wards, it also began to affect mall traffic.</p>
<p>Later a variety of competitors chipped away at the mall business model even more with the likes of Costco, Kohl’s, Nordstroms, Staples, and Best Buy. With every new store opening, consumers were drawn to the newer brighter shinier objects.</p>
<p>Later came the Dollar Stores wave with and discounters like Big Lots, Tuesday Morning, and At Home.</p>
<p>Then, in the past decade, <a href="/business-trends/rethinking-retail-and-18-examples-of-change/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">online shopping dealt a massive blow to mall retailers</a> and, by extension, the malls themselves. It’s not surprising that mall visits declined by 50% between 2010-2013, with further declines reported each successive year.</p>
<h2>The Outlook is Mixed</h2>
<p>Are indoor malls done for? At the very least, when we add <a href="https://www.vox.com/the-goods/2020/4/19/21227275/neiman-marcus-bankruptcy-coronavirus-retail" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">COVID-19 realities</a> into the mix, it almost certainly is the end of malls as we know them today.</p>
<p>However, in the past decade we’ve seen some micro-innovations in malls that could provide a clue about larger trends in the works:</p>
<ol>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px; padding-top: 10px;">Some stores are serving as showrooms (think Apple stores) where products are stored in back or ordered onsite through kiosks.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">More space is being taken by providers of immersive experiences &#8211; gyms, laser tag emporiums, organized play spaces, build a bear, or throw a clay pot.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Malls are offering upgraded food options, including higher-end restaurants at entrance points.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Occasionally, space is being offered for public service purposes such as library branches, DMV offices, police substations, and post office branches.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Some east coast malls have added eclectic areas for collaborative offices and coworking suites.</li>
</ol></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="469" height="322" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-malls-as-community-hubs-post-covid-19-trends.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Malls As Community Hubs Post Covid 19 Trends" title="Malls As Community Hubs Post Covid 19 Trends" class="wp-image-31392" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Will customers still be attracted to malls when there are hundreds of new options?</span></p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>These changes were all underway well before 2020. COVID can probably be considered the third major disruptor for malls in their brief North American history. Mall owners today are struggling to survive, to the point where some are leasing portions of their parking lots for drive-in theaters or outdoor concert venues</p>
<p>Can these property owners hold on long enough to come out on the other side of the pandemic? A definitive COVID-19 “All Clear” simply can’t come soon enough to bring shoppers back in time to save most of these malls. But some higher-end Class A mall properties are likely to receive more grace from their lenders and will have the opportunity to compete in what will become the “new normal for malls.” </p>
<h2>Malls as Communities</h2>
<p>While the big trend is towards making malls community hubs, the coronavirus has put a damper on any gatherings of people. Over time, the pre-COVID trends will accelerate, and Class A malls will continue to innovate. They’ll devote even more space to: </p>
<ol>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px; padding-top: 10px;">Showrooms or fulfillment centers for digitally native brands.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Immersive experience venues. </li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Public services.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Consumer healthcare services (dentist, optical, rapid clinics, etc.).</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Private personal services (realtors, attorneys, accountants, etc.).</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Co-working space &#8211; entire wings or floors or even former anchor store space.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Community events and even religious services. (Theaters have been marketing their unused Sunday morning space to small churches for several years.)</li>
</ol></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="469" height="313" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-future-of-the-shopping-mall-traveling-storefronts.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Future Of The Shopping Mall Traveling Storefronts" title="Future Of The Shopping Mall Traveling Storefronts" class="wp-image-31386" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>Malls of the Future &#8211; Mobile and Driverless</h2>
<p>We sketched out our first scenario for driverless mobile mall shops, it started with rural communities. In most small towns the customer base is far too small to warrant a full-time presence and permanent location. But a one-day-a-week storefront in five or six communities might be the perfect market size.</p>
<p>For this reason, it’s not a stretch to envision a new form of shopping center catering to mobile businesses. With a stationary common area at its core, the mobile mall will be a central gathering place where a variety of businesses can quickly “plug-in” and set up shop.</p>
<p>RVs, trucks, vans, and other large vehicles can be converted into traveling dental offices, tax preparation centers, chiropractic clinics, and retail storefronts. As they pull into place, merchandise and service areas will expand into the common area creating an “open bazaar” feel for the shoppers.</p>
<p>In this kind of setting, malls will increasingly become one-stop destinations, not just for all your shopping needs but for a growing number of your daily living needs.</p>
<p> Most of the traveling storefronts will be one or two-person businesses, nomadically traveling from city to city on their daily business adventure. Others will work a regular circuit, showing up on the same day each week, building a loyal customer base.</p>
<p>The most exciting part of driverless mobile businesses plugging into a mall setting is that every customer visit will be a unique and different experience. Even old-timers like me can get excited about this concept.</p>
<p>When you combine shopping, working, eating, self-care, professional services, events, and religious services, the mobile storefronts inside malls of the future start to sound like my kind of live, work, and play community. All that’s lacking is residential space, and that will surely follow!</p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>By <a href="/thomas-frey-bio/">Futurist Thomas Frey</a>, author of <a href="/epiphany-z-book/">'Epiphany Z – 8 Radical Visions Transforming Your Future'</a></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/business-trends/is-this-the-end-of-the-shopping-mall/">Is this the end of the shopping mall?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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		<title>Autonomous Car Privacy – 8 Scenarios to Explain the Enormous Complexity of this Issue</title>
		<link>https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/autonomous-car-privacy-8-scenarios-to-explain-the-enormous-complexity-of-this-issue/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Thomas Frey]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Dec 2019 17:49:36 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Future of Transportation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[autonomous vehicle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[driverless car]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future privacy issues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[self driving car]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://futuristspeaker.flywheelsites.com/?p=27925</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/autonomous-car-privacy-8-scenarios-to-explain-the-enormous-complexity-of-this-issue/">Autonomous Car Privacy – 8 Scenarios to Explain the Enormous Complexity of this Issue</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><div class="et_pb_section et_pb_section_28 et_pb_with_background et_pb_fullwidth_section et_section_regular" >
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
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					<h1 class="entry-title">Autonomous Car Privacy – 8 Scenarios to Explain the Enormous Complexity of this Issue</h1>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><div id="attachment_27952" style="width: 410px" class="wp-caption alignright"><img decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-27952" class="alignnone wp-image-27952 size-full" title="Autonomous Car Privacy Issue and Increasing Identity Theft Issues" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-autonomous-car-privacy-issue-and-identity-theft.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Autonomous Car Privacy Issue And Identity Theft" width="400" height="250" /><p id="caption-attachment-27952" class="wp-caption-text">When we stop owning our own vehicles, we’ll be forced to adopt whole new mindset!</p></div></p>
<p>Over the coming years the conversations about privacy in driverless vehicles will become a delicate balancing act between privacy, security, and convenience.</p>
<p>Let’s consider a typical morning commute in 2030.</p>
<p>After summoning a car, it arrives quickly, recognizes you, and opens the door. “Good morning Mr. Johnson, where are we heading off to today?”</p>
<p>With facial recognition it already knows your most common destinations, and the stops you like to make along the way. But today is different.</p>
<p>“I’d like to pick up Mr. Norbert from Doggy Daycare and take him to my sister’s house in North Willows.” (Mr. Norbert is the cocker spaniel that he hates leaving at home while he’s gone. The sister’s house is already a known destination.)</p>
<p>“Would you like to stop for your regular cup of coffee before going to Doggy Daycare? I see a Tim Hortons along the way, would you like to stop there?”</p>
<p>“Yes, that would be nice.” (In this situation, Tim Hortons was suggested because the company paid extra to get premium placement on the car’s recommendation engine.)</p>
<p>“Would you also like to purchase a doggie mat for the backseat as well?”</p>
<p>“No he’ll be fine sitting on my lap.” (Since the car is already aware of Mr. Norbert’s bladder problems, sensors under the floor mats and seats are given a “monitor closely” alert.)</p>
<p>“Very well, will you be planning any trips this weekend?”</p>
<p>“Perhaps, I was thinking about taking Sally to the Fire House Bistro on Saturday evening.”</p>
<p>“Would you like me to make reservations for you at the Fire House Bistro on Saturday?”</p>
<p>“Yes, that’ll work. Let’s set the arrival time at 6:30 pm.”</p>
<p>“Very well, I’ll contact them now.” Two minutes go by. “The only times available for the Fire House Bistro on Saturday are earlier than 5:30 pm or after 8:00 pm. Would you like me to reserve one of those time-slots?”</p>
<p>“No, see if you can get a 6:30 pm reservation at the Capitol Club? And also, make it a reservation for four because we’d like to take our grandkids Jonathan and Beverly along.”</p>
<p>“Very well, I’ll contact them now.” Two minutes go by. “Good news, I was able to make a 6:30 pm reservation at the Capitol Club on Saturday for a party of four. Will you be needing car seats for your grandchildren?”</p>
<p>“Yes, I’ll need one carseat for Beverly.” (Once again, this request triggers a sensor alert for possible spillage and other messes.)</p>
<p>After stopping to grab a cup of coffee at Tim Hortons, we drive by a grocery store and a list of sale items appear on my screen. With a few taps, he adds them to his grocery list and a delivery service will drop them off this evening.</p>
<p>Just like every morning, my regularly scheduled conference call comes up and he finds himself part of discussion about next generation security systems for the office.</p>
<p>In this age of self-driving cars, an era when much of the minutiae of daily life is relegated to a machine, we can be as busy or as relaxed as we want to be. But overall, they’ll free up people’s time and attention to focus on other matters while they’re moving from one place to the next.</p>
<p>But there can also be a darker side to all this if you’re concerned about privacy. So let’s take a closer look at the <a href="/future-of-transportation/28-reasons-why-driverless-tech-will-be-the-most-disruptive-technology-in-all-history/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">privacy</a> side of the equation.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="432" height="288" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-driverless-cars-privacy-concerns-cost-of-convenience.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Driverless Cars Privacy Concerns and Cost Of Convenience" title="In a driverless vehicle, privacy becomes a delicate balancing act with security and convenience" class="wp-image-27958" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>In a driverless vehicle, privacy becomes a delicate balancing act with security and convenience!</p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>Competing Interests</h2>
<p>Every trip we make in the future will have multiple parties interested in tracking our activities inside an autonomous vehicle.</p>
<p><strong>Vehicle Owners</strong> &#8211; The company that owns the cars will want to know about any situation that could possibly compromise the ongoing operation of the vehicle. The list of possible “cleanup &amp; repair” triggers will get more complicated over time:</p>
<ul>
<li>Spillage and trash</li>
<li>Contagious diseases</li>
<li>Known criminals</li>
<li>Handicap people</li>
<li>Illegal activities</li>
<li>Terrorist activities</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Governments</strong> &#8211; Since autonomous vehicles will be classified as “public transportation,” governments have an obligation to provide safe and efficient transportation while mitigating danger, and stopping harmful activities before they happen:</p>
<ul>
<li>Known criminals</li>
<li>Handicap people</li>
<li>Illegal activities</li>
<li>Hackers</li>
<li>Hijackers</li>
<li>Terrorist activities</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Passengers</strong> &#8211; Anyone riding in an autonomous car will want a safe and inexpensive form of transportation:</p>
<ul>
<li>Convenient</li>
<li>Safe and secure</li>
<li>Reliable</li>
<li>Comfortable</li>
<li>Easy to enter &amp; exit</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Advertisers</strong> &#8211; Having access to a captive audience is worth its weight in gold, however, it’s a delicate balance between being too intrusive and not enough. Contrary to what most people think, advertisers are not interested in spamming the world with ads. Rather, most are interested in specifically targeting only those people who will be interested in their products or services.</p>
<p><strong>Loyalty Programs</strong> &#8211; Passenger rewards for being a frequent traveler will become a hot topic in the future. For this reason, having an automated system for logging trips and calculating mileage will become a critical feature.</p>
<p><strong>AI Operating System Companies</strong> &#8211; The heart and soul of every autonomous vehicle operation will be an AI operating system that becomes increasingly anticipatory over time. Having the right cars in the right parts of the city at the right time will prove to be the first benchmark for performance. Beyond that, every AI operating system will get to know their passengers quite intimately, offering movies, games, music, recommending products, goods, and services, making accommodations for changes in jobs, lifestyles, and even working with quirky new passenger demands.</p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>With driverless technology, our expectations will dramatically change!</strong> </span></p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>Eight Scenarios</h2></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="433" height="288" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-autonomous-fleets-problems.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Autonomous Fleets Problems" title="Eight scenarios of problems owners of autonomous fleets will have" class="wp-image-27955" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>Surveillance inside a vehicle will take many forms &#8211; visual surveillance with cameras, audio surveillance through microphones, GPS, sensors, air quality monitors, and much more.</p>
<p>As <a href="/predictions/25-shocking-predictions-about-the-coming-driverless-car-era-in-the-u-s/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">fleet owners</a> offer customers a smooth, clean, comfortable ride from point A to point B, there are a staggering number of things that can go wrong along the way.</p>
<p>Whenever serious problems are detected, vehicles will be taken out of service until the problem has been resolved. However, any time a vehicle is removed from operation &#8211; either for cleanup, repair, spills, contagions, police activity, or any number of situations &#8211; expenses start mounting.</p>
<p>At the same time companies want to monitor what’s happening inside their cars, customers have many reasons why they don’t want anyone watching them.</p>
<p>Here are a few quick scenarios to highlight the size and scope of issues these companies will be dealing with.</p>
<h3>1. Terrorist Scenarios</h3>
<p>Autonomous vehicle companies will quickly become targets for hackers, hijackers, and any number of devious minded schemers. All parties involved &#8211; governments, passengers, and vehicle owners &#8211; will want to minimize these kinds of problems. When it comes to terrorist scenarios, problems will range from bombs, to poison, toxic cars, infectious diseases, spying on conversations, and more.</p>
<h3>2. Divorce Scenarios</h3>
<p>Many of those going through a divorce tend to have heightened levels of paranoia. With many worried that their qualifications and worthiness of being a parent will be called into question, many recently divorced people will want to travel incognito with their messy, unruly kids, dogs, and toys.</p>
<h3>3. Celebrity Scenarios</h3>
<p>At a certain point, fame becomes the arch enemy of being seen in public, and many will worry about word getting out at the driverless command center about their whereabouts. Paparazzi, stalkers, and even autograph junkies become a problem for those who just want a peaceful trip across town. These types of problems are quickly exacerbated when viral media stars and rapidly unfolding news stories focus a huge spotlight on anything they do.</p>
<h3>4. Business Exec on Phone Scenarios</h3>
<p>Many business executives routinely have phone conversations that, if overheard by those in competing businesses, could jeopardize the long-term competitiveness of their own company. Corporate espionage is alive and well, and operating at far more sophisticated levels than ever before.</p>
<h3>5. Pets and Support Animal Scenarios</h3>
<p>As the number of people living with pets continues to climb, pet owners increasingly expect their pets will be as welcome as they are wherever they go. With pets ranging from potbelly pigs, to chickens, dogs, cats, snakes, rats, miniature horses, parrots, and iguanas, the overall messiness of animals enclosed in tiny mobile spaces becomes a significant issue. Fleet operators will insist on specific “rider insurance policies” that will kick in whenever an animal is onboard.</p>
<h3>6. Contagious Disease Scenarios</h3>
<p>No one wants to contract a virus, infections, lice, allergens, or any other kind of transmittable illness inside a driverless vehicle. For this reason, fleet owners will have air quality monitors that continuously sniff and test air particles for anything remotely dangerous.</p>
<h3>7. Messy Kid Scenarios</h3>
<p>Even though you may love kids, few passengers want to climb into a car where an explosive diaper has been changed, a 32 ounce Big Gulp has been spilled, projectile vomiting is coating the seat-backs, or magic markers have turned the interior into a Picasso-wanna-be.</p>
<h3>8. Wealthy People Scenarios</h3>
<p>While rich people are willing to pay for absolute privacy, where all cameras, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/jun/08/self-driving-car-legislation-drones-data-security" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">sensors</a>, and recording devices are turned off, things will still go wrong, and fleet owners (and police) will want to know who is responsible. What if passengers get into a fight, blood everywhere, someone dies, or is thrown from the vehicle, how are these issues resolved?</p></div>
			</div><div class="et_pb_module et_pb_image et_pb_image_26 et_pb_image_sticky">
				
				
				
				
				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="433" height="170" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-the-more-personalized-self-driving-cars-get-the-more-personal-data-is-at-risk.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: The More Personalized Self Driving Cars Get The More Personal Data Is At Risk" title="The more self driving cars get personalized the more personal data is at risk to steal information" class="wp-image-27961" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>The more personalized driverless vehicles get, the more conveniences they’ll offer!
</p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>Final Thoughts</h2>
<p>When it comes to self-driving cars, the price of convenience is surveillance.</p>
<p>Massive amounts of data will be collected, as a natural extension of a driverless car’s functionality. These cars will rely on high-tech cameras, both internal and external, along with <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2016/03/self-driving-cars-and-the-looming-privacy-apocalypse/474600/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">ultra-precise GPS data</a>. This means cars will collect reams of information about the people they transport around, similar to the data Uber has amassed about its customers&#8217; habits, but down to a level of detail that’s far more granular.</p>
<p>For self-driving cars to work, an enormous amount of data has to flow through their onboard sensor networks to be able to keep track of every car, person, or animal on the road.</p>
<p>The more personalized these vehicles get, and the more conveniences they offer, the more data they’ll have to incorporate into their operation. The future I described might be a few years away, but there’s no reason to believe it’s too far-fetched.</p>
<p>That said, I’d love to hear your thoughts on this topic.</p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>By <a href="/thomas-frey-bio/">Futurist Thomas Frey</a>, author of <a href="/epiphany-z-book/">'Epiphany Z – 8 Radical Visions Transforming Your Future'</a></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/autonomous-car-privacy-8-scenarios-to-explain-the-enormous-complexity-of-this-issue/">Autonomous Car Privacy – 8 Scenarios to Explain the Enormous Complexity of this Issue</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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		<title>28 Reasons why driverless tech will be the most disruptive technology in all history</title>
		<link>https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/28-reasons-why-driverless-tech-will-be-the-most-disruptive-technology-in-all-history/</link>
					<comments>https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/28-reasons-why-driverless-tech-will-be-the-most-disruptive-technology-in-all-history/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Thomas Frey]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Sep 2019 19:22:58 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Future of Transportation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[autonomous vehicle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[driverless cars]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[driverless technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[self driving car]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://futuristspeaker.flywheelsites.com/?p=24762</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/28-reasons-why-driverless-tech-will-be-the-most-disruptive-technology-in-all-history/">28 Reasons why driverless tech will be the most disruptive technology in all history</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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					<h1 class="entry-title">28 Reasons why driverless tech will be the most disruptive technology in all history</h1>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p><img decoding="async" class="alignright wp-image-24852 size-full" title="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Why Driverless Cars Will Be The Most Disruptive Technology" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-why-driverless-cars-will-be-the-most-disruptive-technology.jpg" alt="" width="402" height="273" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-why-driverless-cars-will-be-the-most-disruptive-technology.jpg 402w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-why-driverless-cars-will-be-the-most-disruptive-technology-400x273.jpg 400w" sizes="(max-width: 402px) 100vw, 402px" />The impact of driverless vehicles will be profound, touching almost every aspect of our lives, and the level of disruption will be staggering.</p>
<p>It will not only change the way we get from point A to point B, but also how we think about shopping, entertainment, dining out, as well as the design of our buildings, houses, hospitals, churches, and shopping centers.</p>
<p>It will shift how we manage our businesses, how we schedule our time, how we interact with our friends, and what we should invest in.</p>
<p>Virtually every facet of society, in every country around the world, will be touched by driverless technologies, and the vast majority of it is destined to improve our global standard of living.</p>
<p>Yes, there will be job losses, but they will be offset by job creation. Businesses that disappear will be replaced by innovative new businesses.</p>
<p>As transportation becomes faster, cheaper, and easier, we will simply do more of it. We will become a very fluid society, and all this movement will seem natural and effortless.</p>
<p>However, the path to progress is strewn with countless land mines and pitfalls. Many things will go wrong as every new tech journey is never smooth.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="432" height="268" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-driverless-car-technology-vehicle-design-issues.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Driverless Car Technology Vehicle Design Issues" title="Driverless Car Technology Vehicle Design Issues" class="wp-image-24857" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>Vehicle design will rapidly iterate from one design to the next.</p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>28 Reasons</h2>
<p>Here are a few of my latest thoughts on the impact of driverless tech.</p>
<h3>1. People will still own their own cars in the future, but it will be a rapidly declining number.</h3>
<p>Transportation-as-a-service companies will first spring up in large metro areas and expand into small towns and rural communities. But few of the early fleet owners will be interested in small-town-small-profit communities, even though they might serve as a far more manageable proving ground. With both human drivers and autonomous vehicles sharing the same highways, a number of complications will crop up to impede progress.</p>
<h3>2. Car manufacturers will most likely be the early fleet owners.</h3>
<p>While software and tech companies are taking over many industries (i.e. some of the biggest banks in the future will be tech companies), car manufacturing still requires unique skills and companies such as <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/20/business/self-driving-cars-cadillac-super-cruise.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Tesla, Toyota, and Ford</a> will be in a deciding position as to how their cars will be used. They will also have the greatest potential for responding to rapidly shifting market demands. Self-driving cars will be heavily used, 24-7 if possible, and fleet owners will learn the nuances of customer preferences first hand, translating quickly evolving expectations into next generation design details in a matter of months. For this reason, it will be in the manufacturer’s best interest to eliminate every possible barrier between design teams and end users as they rapidly iterate from one design to the next, and grapple with emerging business models in the process.</p>
<h3>3. One autonomous car will replace roughly 30 traditional cars.</h3>
<p>There are roughly 273 million registered vehicles in the U.S. and replacing them all will be a long drawn out process. But here’s the math most people don’t understand. For a city of 2 million people, a fleet of 30,000 autonomous vehicles will displace 50% of peak commuter traffic. During off-peak times, 30,000 autonomous vehicles will handle virtually all other transportation needs. Peak traffic times will naturally be the hardest to manage.</p>
<h3>4. Vehicle design will rapidly iterate from one design to the next.</h3>
<p>Car companies have spent so much time in the race to get the technology safe and functional that they haven’t taken time to understand the evolving expectations of driverless customers. As an example, people will still pay more to ride in luxury vehicles, but our definition of luxury will change. Ease of entrance and exit will become important issues. So will lighting, visibility, noise levels, entertainment option, seating arrangements, and cleanliness. The operating systems for driverless tech will also evolve quickly as use cases grow and adaptive self-learning AI-based neural networks respond to every new situation. Eventually all technology to support human drivers will disappear, including steering wheels, dashboards, gas pedals, and brake pedals. Instead, vehicles will be designed around comfort, conversations, entertainment, project spaces, desktops, power outlets, and snacking/eating.</p>
<h3>5. Child seats will be the most challenging feature to design in self-driving cars.</h3>
<p>For parents, the <a href="/future-of-transportation/driverless-cars-the-hardest-design-problem-yet-to-be-solved-is-one-that-you-will-never-guess/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">safety of their children</a> takes priority over virtually every aspect of their life. The elaborate process of strapping kids into their seat and buckling each of them into a five-point harness has become a routine way of life for moms and dads everywhere. Let’s face it. Kids are messy, dirty, get sick, throw up, toss things, and find ways to turn a perfectly clean vehicle into a waste management problem in a matter of seconds. At the same time, fleet owners will not want to ignore kids because they represent a significant percentage of the marketplace.</p>
<h3>6. Other major design issues will include dealing with pets, service animals, handicap people, elderly, and politicians.</h3>
<p>What if a daycare center needs a vehicle with six car seats? What if a dog trainer has to pick up four dogs? What if an assisted care center has three people in wheelchairs that want to travel together? What if politicians pass a law requiring <a href="/technology-trends/driverless-tech-8-scenarios-that-show-it-to-be-the-most-disruptive-technology-in-all-history/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">fleet owners</a> to accommodate all of these situations?</p>
<h3>7. Next generation storage cells will mean that batteries will never have to be changed on autonomous vehicles.</h3>
<p>If Tesla’s latest claims holds true, they will soon have a battery that lasts a million miles. This means the rest of the car will wear out before the batteries.</p>
<h3>8. Car death and accident rates will plummet.</h3>
<p>In 2018, roughly 40,000 people lost their lives in car crashes, and about 4.5 million people were seriously injured in crashes. Over the next three decades we will see a constantly shifting ratio of human drivers vs. autonomous vehicles. As human drivers decline, death and injury rates will fall. Our safest form of transportation is the airline industry. If we can get car safety even close to that of airlines, we will save tons of lives and lifelong injuries in the process.</p>
<h3>9. We currently spend over $500 billion per year repairing people after car accidents.</h3>
<p>This amounts to one out of every six dollars in the healthcare industry. Cars are taking a huge toll on our society.</p>
<h3>10. How will autonomous cars affect retail?</h3>
<p>In a big way! Over time there will be no more customer-facing mechanics, tire shops, brake shops, car washes, auto parts stores, or gas stations. Over 10% of retail is car related and likely to disappear.</p>
<h3>11. Autonomous vehicles will be used to create driverless mobile businesses.</h3>
<p>As we removed the driver from the equation driverless tech opens the door to completely different ways of doing business, ones that separate themselves from a permanent location. The number one challenge of traditional retail has always been driving customers to the store. As we move into a highly mobile marketplace, this type of business will soon be able to drive to where the customers already are.</p>
<h3>12. Over 80% of driverless cars will be one-passenger vehicles.</h3>
<p>Since 85% of cars on the road only have one person in them, and since one-person vehicles will be cheaper, it’s very likely that upwards of 80% of autonomous fleets will be designed around single passenger occupancy. Naturally larger vehicle can be summoned whenever necessary. It may be counter intuitive, but people will actually prefer to one-person cars.</p>
<h3>13. Cities will lose over 50% of their current revenue streams.</h3>
<p>When we combine the loss of sales tax, retail stores, income from traffic violations, gas tax, vehicle licensing, parking meters, and parking garages, the total loss of revenue to a city becomes a very large number. Keep in mind, cities will undoubtedly develop new forms of revenue but that will require considerable foresight and planning.</p>
<h3>14. Driverless tech will likely trigger a city pension crisis.</h3>
<p>Numerous cities have made overly generous long-term commitments to fund staff pensions, a commitment that will be especially hard to manage when revenues begin to drop. With increased longevity, most pension funds were never adequately funded in the first place. Since driverless tech will undermine many of our city’s existing revenue streams, the challenges they’re facing today will transition into a full-blown pension crisis for many of them in the future. There will be no easy solutions for bailing out these super expensive pension plans.</p>
<h3>15. We will reach the peak demand for oil before 2040.</h3>
<p>Once we reach peak demand for oil, stemming from a surge in wind, solar, and nuclear, prices will start to plummet. Driverless tech will hasten the shift to <a href="/business-trends/my-weekend-with-the-new-all-electric-nissan-leaf/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">electric cars</a>. There are many geopolitical implications that will accompany this change. Petroleum will continue to be valuable for making plastics and other materials, but will not be burned for energy at any scale. Many companies, countries, and investors have already started making plans for what comes next.</p>
<h3>16. Location will no longer matter.</h3>
<p>In the past, being in business was all about “location, location, location.” However, as the driverless world evolves, passengers will become much more involved in working, watching movies, and playing games throughout the commute. As a driver, we become very invested in the landmarks along the way, and understanding the context of our location. But once drivers become passengers, they will be paying far less attention to local landmarks. As a result, it will be far easier to just ask your car to take you to whatever store or business you want to go to, regardless of proximity to your current location. Perhaps a better way of thinking about this is that location will still matter, but it will matter differently.</p>
<h3>12. Over 5 million acres of parking lots will soon become available for redevelopment.</h3>
<p>Currently 14% of Los Angeles is dedicated to parking. We have an amazing amount of land dedicated to parking – over 5 million acres to be precise. Demand for parking will begin to dwindle over the coming decades and this property will be sold as prime real estate for redevelopment.</p>
<h3>18. Owning a car will soon become a very expensive hobby.</h3>
<p>Autonomous vehicles will cause car ownership to evolve from a necessity to a luxury, to an expensive hobby. As dealerships and gas stations begin to dwindle, the overall cost of owning and maintaining a car will begin to ratchet upwards. Once autonomous vehicles reach 20-50% of commuter traffic, the cost of traditional car ownership will skyrocket.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="432" height="243" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-in-car-entertainment-options-will-grow.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: In Car Entertainment Options Will Grow" title="In Car Entertainment Options Will Grow" class="wp-image-24858" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>Entertainment options inside cars will grow exponentially.</p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h3>19. Roughly 25% of today’s jobs will disappear as a result of autonomous vehicles.</h3>
<p> Over the next 2-3 decades, driverless technologies will be either directly or indirectly responsible for the loss of 25% of all of today’s jobs. But that’s only part of the story. Virtually every aspect of society, in every country around the world, will be touched by driverless technologies, and the vast majority of it is destined to improve our global standard of living. Job losses will be offset by job creation. Businesses that disappear will be replaced by innovative new businesses built around the ingenious new capabilities autonomous vehicles provide.</p>
<h3>20. The automobile insurance industry will dwindle to a fraction of its current size.</h3>
<p> Total personal automobile insurance premiums in the U.S. stood at about $173 billion in 2018. According to KPMG, accidents will decline 80% by 2040 due to autonomous transportation. While the cost per accident may rise substantially because new cars and their parts are more expensive, once driverless tech hits its stride, the decline will be dramatic and result in sizable reductions in loss and premiums. More than 90% of accidents each year are caused by driver error.</p>
<h3>21. The number of taxi and truck drivers will drop, eventually to zero.</h3>
<p> In its place we will see many of the same people working at truck and transport command centers. Someone born today might not understand what a truck driver is or even understand why someone would do that job — much like people born in the last 30 years don’t understand why someone had ever been employed as a switchboard operator.</p>
<h3>22. Lobbying efforts surrounding autonomous vehicles will get ugly.</h3>
<p> The biggest losers in driverless tech will be insurance, banks, and auto dealerships and they will spend heavily to muck up the political playground for this emerging industry.</p>
<h3>23. Driver’s licenses will start to dwindle as will the Department of Motor Vehicles in most states</h3>
<p>. People will start using other forms of ID but biometrics and face recognition will pave the way for the inevitable digitization of all personal identification.</p>
<h3>24. No more DUIs. Traffic tickets will dwindle and disappear altogether</h3>
<p> along with traffic court, lawyers, DAs, and all the revenue streams they perpetuated. This will happen relatively soon since all driverless vehicles will operate at the correct speed and there will be fewer options for slipping between vehicles and racing down an open stretch. Speed junkies, for the most part will go away since few people will even care how fast they’re going.</p>
<h3>25. Police departments will shrink dramatically.</h3>
<p> With up to 80% of today&#8217;s police forces focused on traffic control, cops that survive the transition will soon have a far less visible presence and a substantially different daily routine.</p>
<h3>26. Alcohol and cannabis consumption will rise.</h3>
<p> Restaurants and bars will sell more because people will consume more, as they no longer need to consider how to get home and will be able to consume inside vehicles. Many self-driving vehicles will come equipped with their own mini-bars.</p>
<h3>27. Tech companies will study every little detail inside each car.</h3>
<p> Companies like Google and Facebook will accumulate data on everything related to customer movements and locations. Unlike GPS chips that only tell them where someone is at the moment, autonomous vehicle systems will know where people are going in real-time and how they’re preparing for what comes next.</p>
<h3>28. Privacy mode for the inside of vehicles will be an upsell feature.</h3>
<p> Privacy mode will be designed for those having business discussions, arguments, sex, affairs, doing illegal drugs, and much more. But it will come with heavy fines if the vehicle is somehow damaged or trashed during the blackout period.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="432" height="225" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-passenger-experience-in-autonomous-vehicles.jpg" alt="Futurist Speaker Thomas Frey Blog: Passenger Experience In Autonomous Vehicles" title="Passenger Experience In Autonomous Vehicles" class="wp-image-24861" /></span>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>As we enter the “driverless era,” the focus will shift to the passenger experience</p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>Final Thoughts</h2>
<p>My goal in writing this has been to spark your imagination about the dramatic changes that will soon take place.</p>
<p>Car designers today spend the vast majority of their time trying to optimize the driver experience. After all, the driver is the most important part of the ownership equation.</p>
<p>As we enter the “driverless era,” the focus will shift to the passenger experience. Very soon, cars with steering wheels will seem as outdated as dial telephones!</p>
<p>Fancy dashboards displaying dazzling amounts of information for the driver will become a thing of the past as riders fuss over on-board movies, music, and massage controls.</p>
<p>Some fleet owners will offer car experiences that are more conversational in nature, pairing socially compatible riders in a way to maximize conversations and improve the social environment. Others will stress the benefits of alone-time, offering a peaceful zen-like experience for those wishing to escape the hustle and bustle of work-life.</p>
<p>However, as we navigate our way towards a safer, more efficient society, we still have a few bumpy roads to go down before we see the light at the end of the tunnel.</p></div>
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			</div><div id="nav_menu-2" class="et_pb_widget widget_nav_menu"><h4 class="widgettitle">Speaking Topics</h4><div class="menu-speaking-topics-container"><ul id="menu-speaking-topics-6" class="menu"><li class="menu-item menu-item-type-custom menu-item-object-custom menu-item-18628"><a href="/thomas-frey-speaking-topics/#future-of-healthcare">Future of Healthcare &#8211; &#8220;Is Death our only Option?</a></li>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>By <a href="/thomas-frey-bio/">Futurist Thomas Frey</a>, author of <a href="/epiphany-z-book/">'Epiphany Z – 8 Radical Visions Transforming Your Future'</a></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/28-reasons-why-driverless-tech-will-be-the-most-disruptive-technology-in-all-history/">28 Reasons why driverless tech will be the most disruptive technology in all history</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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		<title>The Air Mattress on the Plane Guy, and the Future of Comfort</title>
		<link>https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/the-air-mattress-on-the-plane-guy-and-the-future-of-comfort/</link>
					<comments>https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/the-air-mattress-on-the-plane-guy-and-the-future-of-comfort/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Thomas Frey]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Aug 2019 13:00:32 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Future of Transportation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[autonomous vehicle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[competing for comfort]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future of comfort]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future transportation]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://futuristspeaker.flywheelsites.com/?p=24148</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/the-air-mattress-on-the-plane-guy-and-the-future-of-comfort/">The Air Mattress on the Plane Guy, and the Future of Comfort</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><div class="et_pb_section et_pb_section_42 et_pb_with_background et_pb_fullwidth_section et_section_regular" >
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
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					<h1 class="entry-title">The Air Mattress on the Plane Guy, and the Future of Comfort</h1>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p><img decoding="async" class="alignright size-full wp-image-24198" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-the-air-mattress-on-the-plane-guy.jpg" alt="" width="402" height="236" srcset="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-the-air-mattress-on-the-plane-guy.jpg 402w, https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-the-air-mattress-on-the-plane-guy-400x236.jpg 400w" sizes="(max-width: 402px) 100vw, 402px" /> I recently returned from a speaking engagement in South Korea, and on my trans-pacific flights between San Francisco and Seoul I tried something new – an air mattress.</p>
<p>I had my doubts at first, but it turned out to be a total game changer!</p>
<p>Since I’m larger than most people, comfort has been an elusive commodity on the 10-14 hour flights I often find myself on. Even though I’m flying business class with seats that lay flat, after a few hours virtually every seat causes unusual pain points to develop.</p>
<p>The air mattress I took along was a Polarmile Ultralight Sleeping Pad that fits into a double-fist sized carrying case, but inflated to fit well on the United 787 that I was a passenger on.</p>
<p>Admittedly, I was rather self-conscious about blowing up an air mattress onboard, thinking the whole world was watching “as I prepared my campsite” on a crowded plane.</p>
<p>But that wasn’t the case. No one noticed, and more importantly, no one cared.</p>
<p>The online description for the Polarmile says it only requires 10-15 breaths to inflate, but I found it to be more in the 75-80-breath range. No, I wasn’t trying to maximize my lung capacity with each breath, but I do think they understated it a bit.</p>
<p>I also didn’t want it to be at full capacity. I wasn’t looking for a firm, rigid air mattress, but something that would mold to the seat as I adjusted it in various states of recline. So, close to full, but not full.</p>
<p>Since United already provided a blanket-like mattress pad for the seat, I placed that over the top of the air mattress to add another layer between the plastic and my skin.</p>
<p>Over the years I’ve tried many things to make the trips easier, and to be honest, very few of them worked. So my expectations were rather low.</p>
<p>I’ve found that when I start with low expectations, virtually any progress seems like a huge victory. But this air mattress experiment, not only was it a radical improvement, it continued to impress me flying both ways over the duration of the entire trip.</p>
<p>So why is this important?</p>
<p>It’s quite simple. Comfort has shifted from a “good enough” item on a checklist to a topic of elite cocktail party discussions and become an essential decider of brand value.</p>
<h2>The Future of Comfort</h2>
<p>The reason an air mattress adds comfort is because it diffuses natural pressure points over a broader section of the body. Distributed pressure means less chance of developing those annoying points of pain.</p>
<p>As we think through the idea of comfort, the three places where the human body comes into contact with the physical world most are the beds we sleep in, the shoes that we walk in, and the chairs we sit in.</p>
<p>Each of these primary contact areas has long been the center of our attention as we are always looking for a better solution.</p>
<p>Moving forward, we will expand our use of digital products, adding additional <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960982214008367" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">sensors to our body</a>, greatly improving our ability to spot problem areas before they develop.</p>
<p>Not only will we have the ability to zero in on the precise location of the problem, but also the tools to uncover the root cause and solutions to remedy them.</p>
<p>Yet, comfort involves far more than physical contact. If our space is too humid, too dry, too noisy, too bright, too dark, filled with vibrations, offensive odors, or changing air pressure, our overall comfort changes significantly.</p>
<p>This becomes an increasingly important topic when we study the evolving landscape of comfort.</p></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="500" height="280" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-competing-for-future-comfort-beds-on-airlines-or-traveling-in-autonomous-car.jpg" alt="" title="" class="wp-image-24192" /></span>
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Very soon car companies will be competing with airlines for short and medium haul passengers.</p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>Competing for Comfort</h2>
<p>Very soon, traveling in an autonomous car will become a viable option. In many cases it will be preferable to flying in a plane to short-range destinations. </p>
<p>Rather than wading through the hassle of scheduling a flight, driving to the airport, dealing with baggage and security, waiting to board, crowding into tiny airline seats, enduring the flight itself, and finding transportation once you arrive, it’ll only take a few minutes to have a driverless car out front and you can ride comfortably for the next 6-10 hours, working on projects, watching movies, playing video games, or just sleeping as you make your way to your destination.</p>
<p>Suddenly airlines will be facing a new form of competition they never saw coming.</p>
<p>As an industry, they will have to eliminate many “layers of discomfort” before they can effectively compete with the cross-country autonomous cars of the future. And seating is only part of the equation.</p>
<p>If we expand our horizons, space tourism and traveling to other planets may not be far off, and the idea of comfort takes on a whole new dimension. Stresses on the human body and duration of travel will extend far beyond anything most of us have confronted so far.</p>
<h2>Autonomous Vehicles will take the Lead</h2>
<p>Once you are able to summon a vehicle to take you across town, the key differentiators will be comfort, cleanliness, and functionality. The relationship we have with our vehicles becomes a complicated equation, far different for every user:</p>
<ul>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Can I wear a suit or fancy dress without worrying about some kid having smeared chocolate on the seats?</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Is it possible to dim the windows so I can sleep?</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Are there spaces for a computer, purse, briefcase, or small tote?</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">If I bought a few things at my last stop, will they fit into the trunk? Can I hang onto this car so I don’t have to bring all my bags with me?</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Is there a fold out desk where I can do some serious work?</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">When I’m on a Skype or Zoom call, how stable will my connection be, and how much road noise will I hear?</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">If I have my kid(s) with me, are there child seats built in? Are there tray tables so they can play with toys, eat food, or just sleep.</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Will the car connect to the music on my smartphone? Can I watch videos or play games?</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Were there dogs, cats, or some other animals that I may be allergic to in this car before me?</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">How comfortable will this car be on a 10-12 hour trip?</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Are there extra charges for dropping off the car in a different city?</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Was the last passenger smoking, vaping, sweaty, or suffering from some contagious disease?</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Can I meet with more than one person inside the vehicle as we’re driving around?</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">Will it be possible to stand up, do exercises, or engage in some kind of workout while I’m traveling?</li>
</ul></div>
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				<span class="et_pb_image_wrap has-box-shadow-overlay"><div class="box-shadow-overlay"></div><img decoding="async" width="500" height="281" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/futurist-speaker-thomas-frey-our-thinking-about-autonomous-vehicles-will-dramatically-change.jpg" alt="" title="" class="wp-image-24195" /></span>
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Over the coming months our thinking about autonomous cars will dramatically change.</p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>Final Thoughts</h2>
<p>Every person views transportation through a different lens. Blowing up an air mattress may have solved one problem, but it only scratches the surface of complex comfort issues that will arise as we move into a future with far more shared use options.</p>
<p>Future contact surfaces will have expansion cells that interact with sensors on our body. We will develop complex interfaces that share vast amounts of information with virtually every surface we come into contact with.</p>
<p>So far we’ve done a poor job of molding the world to mesh with us, the human users. Over the coming years, this will become the primary focus of design thinking.</p>
<p>The examples listed above were intended to spark your imagination, and only represent a drop in the bucket of what’s truly possible. Please let us know other ideas come to mind as you read this. I think we all want to know.</p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>By <a href="/thomas-frey-bio/">Futurist Thomas Frey</a>, author of <a href="/epiphany-z-book/">'Epiphany Z – 8 Radical Visions Transforming Your Future'</a></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-of-transportation/the-air-mattress-on-the-plane-guy-and-the-future-of-comfort/">The Air Mattress on the Plane Guy, and the Future of Comfort</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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		<title>Visiting the Future with Thomas Frey of the DaVinci Institute</title>
		<link>https://futuristspeaker.com/future-scenarios/visiting-the-future-with-thomas-frey-of-the-davinci-institute/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Charles Warnock]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Jul 2019 18:12:06 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Future Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[autonomous vehicle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future jobs]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[vision of the future]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://futuristspeaker.flywheelsites.com/?p=23826</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-scenarios/visiting-the-future-with-thomas-frey-of-the-davinci-institute/">Visiting the Future with Thomas Frey of the DaVinci Institute</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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					<h1 class="entry-title">Visiting the Future with Thomas Frey of the DaVinci Institute</h1>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><img decoding="async" class="size-full wp-image-23944 alignright" src="https://futuristspeaker.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/visiting-the-future-with-thomas-frey-of-the-davinci-institute.jpg" alt="" width="362" height="217" />Meet Thomas Frey: futurist, speaker, and founder of the DaVinci Institute in Westminster, Colorado—and SU community member. He has spoken around the world to such audiences as NASA executives and other high-level government officials and such Fortune 500 companies as IBM, AT&amp;T, Lucent Technologies, First Data, Boeing, Capital One, Bell Canada, Visa, Ford Motor Company, and Qwest. Formerly an engineer at IBM for 15 years, Frey now works to develop original research at the DaVinci Institute in areas not normally addressed by futurists.</p>
<p>Some of Frey’s predictions include:</p>
<ul>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">The <a href="/business-trends/understanding-the-future-of-korea-interview-with-edaily/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">reunification of North and South Korea</a> will happen by 2020</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">By 2030, the largest company on the Internet will be an <a href="/business-trends/33-dramatic-predictions-for-2030/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">education-based company</a> that we haven’t heard of yet</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;"><a href="/future-of-banking/insights-on-the-future-of-banking/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Cryptocurrency</a> is very much here to stay and is going to displace 25% of national currencies by 2030</li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">By 2030, over <a href="/business-trends/2-billion-jobs-to-disappear-by-2030/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">2 billion jobs will disappear</a></li>
<li style="padding-bottom: 5px;">We will <a href="/business-trends/reaching-1-billion-drones-by-2030/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">reach the first billion drones</a> in the world by 2030</li>
</ul>
<h2>Thomas, we’re big fans of visiting the future frequently to inform our thinking and planning for today. It seems you visit the future often, and come back with predictions that are sometimes controversial.</h2>
<p>Well, the point is not just to be controversial, but definitely to be provocative in terms of expanding our thinking and understanding about the future. Sometimes, the best way to shake us out of our typical thinking patterns is to throw out a very controversial starting point, or premise, or approach existing arguments in a different way. For example, everyone agrees that understanding the future is important.</p>
<p>But what if I said that ignorance is a valuable part of the future—that our greatest motivations in life come from NOT knowing the future. Once a future is known, we quickly lose interest in trying to influence it. If we knew the future, we would have little reason to vote in an election, host a surprise party, or begin a new project. For this reason, our greatest motivations in life come from NOT knowing the future.</p>
<p>Because no one has a totally clear vision of what lies ahead, we are all left with degrees of accuracy. Anyone, any organization, that achieves a higher degree of accuracy, even by only a few percentage points, can achieve a significant competitive advantage. I have said that humanity will change more in the next 20 years than in all of human history. At that rate of change, developing a clear vision of the future becomes not just important, but critical to an organization’s survival.</div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>So is it true that we must be proactive and disrupt ourselves or be disrupted by someone who’s moving faster? Are there only two choices?</h2>
<p>You can do the quantum leap thing where you leapfrog forward with a brand new solution that’s better than any current solution—and I would encourage people to stretch their minds and think in those terms. There’s a huge effort in the world today to solve all of our problems, and really these are all the historic problems that have built up to this point. And we haven’t really spent much time looking at the innovations in the future that will actually change the problem sets.</p>
<p>I mean, if we colonize Mars, that’s a whole different set of problems. It gives us a different perspective. Instead of the idea of having an overpopulated Earth, suddenly we’re thinking in terms of an underpopulated universe. It’s the same issue, but it’s looking at it from radically different perspectives.</p>
<p>All of these things change as our technologies change, as our reach changes. Our capabilities change. This technology that we’re creating, it’s giving us additional capabilities. It’s giving us the ability to do things faster, better, cheaper than ever before. And that’s what’s fascinating to me: as we step further, as we step into the next realm of technology, we acquire a different vantage point and things just look different from there. Almost anyone who has ever started a business will tell you that once they get into the business, they start spotting relevant opportunities that they never realized were there.<br />You’ve also talked about existing technologies that will keep morphing and developing, as opposed to being replaced. What’s an example?</p>
<p>I was thinking about the idea of what technology will replace the photograph, but the photograph itself seems pretty durable. We’re adding more capabilities to that one photograph and how we store it, how we display it, and how we interact with it. The photograph might start out as just a still image from the past, and then we add a timestamp, geolocation, and machine learning is getting a lot better at recognizing people and objects. We can actually go back and sort through the time frame, the people, and possibly where the photo was taken because of objects in the background.</p>
<p>Then we start adding human relationships, like “This is my great uncle, and he was related to this person and that person.” Suddenly, we have a genealogy map that we didn’t know existed. It’s fascinating what might happen as people start digging away into all the attributes every photograph has. 2D photos can become 3D photos. Still images can become animated. With AI we’ll soon be able to “fill in the blanks” between photos. Photography has been around since 1839, and I think that we’re going to be reinventing the photograph 50 years from now, still. It has that much potential.</p>
<h2>You also effectively step back into the past to imagine the future of transportation.</h2>
<p>It’s a good example of the cascading effect. The transportation industry affects so many other industries. The cars that we drive today have been in development for over 120 years, primarily around the assumption of a human driver. Through most of the incremental advances in auto technology, we’ve haven’t planned for autonomous vehicles. Now designers are more focused on electric vehicles, and not focused on the human’s relationship with the steering wheel, the dashboard, gas pedals, and so on.</p>
<p>So then there’s this growing idea that we’ll no longer have to own vehicles. We have 273 million registered vehicles in the United States—a lot of hardware that’s just sitting idle 96% of the day, on average. We have built garages for our houses in which to store our cars, we have parking garages in town, parking spaces all over. And you start asking the question, “Well, what if we didn’t need all that? What if one car could actually take the place of 30 cars?”</p>
<p>The implications are huge when you start looking at the cascading effect that this shift could have. It’s beyond the future of transportation to the future of work, finance, real estate, travel, and all these aspects of our lives.  If I don’t have to own my own car, the people making the car loans are out of a job. The car insurance people, suddenly they’re selling fewer and fewer policies and a lot of them are out of jobs.</p>
<p>And we can start using that real estate for other purposes. Over 10% of retail space in cities is car-related. That’s not only car dealerships, but car washes, the auto parts stores, the brake shops, tire shops. All of these things start to dwindle over time, and how does that change our lifestyle?</p>
<p>Could I actually have a mobile platform where I go to work and my office is mobile and it drives around town all day and picks up people that I’m meeting with? That’s a different type of lifestyle for some business executives. If I want to go to Chicago, Miami, or Dallas, rather than go through all the security hassle at the airport I can just jump in a vehicle and take off, and I’m watching movies and playing video games for the next 12, 15, or 18 hours. Imagine if you don’t have to deal with feeling like you’re packed in like cattle on an airplane. Soon, you may be able to forget about airport security or crowds, and watch the sights roll by as you cruise cross-country in an autonomous vehicle.</p>
<p>Technology will have a massive impact on the travel and transportation industries. What will happen to airlines and airports? What about those massive parking garages that surround our airports? About 41% of income for the average airport in the United States comes from parking and transportation fees. All the limo drivers, the shuttle bus drivers, tow-truck drivers, all of those jobs start to go away. So the cascading effect of all of this is just staggering. And all of the income from traffic violations, traffic courts, the highway patrol—all of that starts to go away, too.</p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>It sounds like the future of transportation is closely tied to the future of work.</h2>
<p>There are connections wherever you look. In 2012, I was giving a TEDx talk in Istanbul, and I made the prediction that by 2030 over two billion jobs will disappear. Now I am quoted about this in newspapers, magazines, and TV stations all over the world. That was never intended to be a doom-and-gloom statement. I never intended it to mean we’re going to have two billion people unemployed in the world. Rather, it was intended to be a wakeup call that we must create new jobs at a faster rate than ever before.</p>
<p>We’re going to baby-step our way into the future and we will have a lot of failures along the way. And as long as we have these failures, and all the problems that come with failure, we’re always going to have jobs—certainly not the same jobs we have today, but we’re always going to have a lot of work to do to fix all these things that we’ve created.</p>
<p>So, you must ask the question, “Is it the same job?” That’s very important because 20 years from now, we’re still going to have teachers, accountants, lawyers, and nurses, but the tools, techniques, and strategies they use are going to be radically different. Teachers are in the education profession, and they may be in the same profession in 20 years—but their roles will look very different than they do today. I think the idea of a profession evolving with new tools and technology is more realistic than a scenario in which a new job comes along and it eliminates that old job. It’s not that simple. It’s much messier than that; it’s much blurrier. So yes, we should just assume that our jobs will get redefined again, and again, and again.</p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h2>So what’s the takeaway for those who are concerned about remaining relevant in this messy, blurry future?</h2>
<p>Virtually everybody I run into today has this nagging anxiety, wondering “Am I still going to have a job five years from now? If not, what new skills do I need to learn to remain relevant?” We all have to replace that anxiety with action. Learn from what’s known, and extend that out into the unknown future. Whatever your profession, what can you learn from its historical context? How will the future be different as exponential technologies emerge and converge? We can’t just read about these technologies. We need to touch them, experiment, and figure out how to apply them to the problems we’ll face in the future.</p>
<p>I like to say we shape our future, and our future shapes us. The more time you spend visiting the future and thinking about potential scenarios, the more comfortable you will feel in preparing for it. Think on a global scale, and pay attention to the accelerating rate of change driven by technologies. One common mistake people make is underestimating just how quickly our lives, business, and every industry are changing.</p>
<p>Finally, I would say that there’s never been a better time to find your tribe. Join future-focused communities. Attend events, mastermind groups, hackathons, and professional associations. None of us can know the future, but all of us can empower ourselves to know what’s coming and to create our own fulfilling futures.</p>
<p><a href="https://su.org/blog/visiting-the-future-with-thomas-frey-of-the-davinci-institute/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">This post was originally published on the Singularity University Blog on June 27th, 2019.</a></p></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p>By <a href="/thomas-frey-bio/">Futurist Thomas Frey</a>, author of <a href="/epiphany-z-book/">'Epiphany Z – 8 Radical Visions Transforming Your Future'</a></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com/future-scenarios/visiting-the-future-with-thomas-frey-of-the-davinci-institute/">Visiting the Future with Thomas Frey of the DaVinci Institute</a> appeared first on <a href="https://futuristspeaker.com">Futurist Speaker</a>.</p>
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